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What Could Have Been

After watching the Sharks torch the Kings Tuesday night behind Patrick Marleau’s two goals, I thought back to the trade rumor last September that had Marleau coming to L.A. as part of a three-way trade. Marleau, who seemingly has owned the Kings during his career, would certainly look good playing along side Anze Kopitar.

But the rumored deal would have cost the Kings Alexander Frolov and Jarret Stoll. Would it have been a good deal?

Marleau is having at career year (34 goals, 54 points) and is a better goal-scorer than Frolov but is he a better player? I would say yes and no. Marleau is more of a natural goal-scorer but this season is certainly benefiting from playing on a line with Joe Thornton and Dany Heatley. No one of the Kings can match either of those two in terms of playmaking ability.

Frolov is having one of his worst years. His projected 18 goals for the season would the lowest total since his rookie year while his projected minus-17 rating would be a career low.

On the plus side, Frolov is three years younger than Marleau and historically a better defensive player. (As an example, Marleau was a minus-19 in 2007-08 when the Sharks were plus-29 as a team; Frolov was plus-1 that season when the Kings were minus-35.)

Despite the numbers, I think it wouldn't have been a good move for the Kings (assuming there were some truth to the rumor despite Dean Lombardi's emphatic denial).

First, the trade would have cost Stoll, who I think is one of their most valuable and underrated players. Second, it wouldn’t have solved the dilemma that faces the Kings today -- that is what to do with Frolov as the trading deadline looms.

Marleau is also an UFA. He, like Frolov, would certainly like a hefty raise from the $6.3 million he’s making this year. If the Kings are balking at signing Frolov to a contract in the range of $5-6 million a year, then why would they pay more to keep Marleau? I don’t think Marleau is worth that kind of money and I definitely don’t think Frolov is either.

For $6-million per, the Kings should get a player who dominates games most of the time, not some of the time. For that kind of money, the Kings should get someone the caliber of the Sedin twins ($6.1 million) or Ryan Getzlaf ($5.325 million), each of whom are around the same age as Fro.

I, like everyone around the Kings, can be infuriated by the play of Frolov. I’ve also come to accept that he is never going to be the player we all want and think he should be. And if his career with the Kings is coming to an end soon, I think he should be traded. The sooner, the better.

I have never seen this person before in my life.

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I had various fantasies about Marleau coming here

mostly having to do with his prior relationship to DL. I think it could still happen this summer, but it’s more likely that he will find someone else to pay more than DL is willing to pay, or else he’ll just re-sign with SJS.

I agree re the Frolov contract. I don’t think he’s going to get $5MM from anyone. Maybe close to $4MM. $3.8MM, that kind of thing. The thing about Frolov is, if he — as has been reported — doesn’t really “get” the whole contract year hubbub, I wonder if he “gets” the whole idea of the uber-contract. Does he think he deserves it or not? Will he see that no-one is going to offer him what he wants, if in fact he wants more than $5MM? Is he smart enough to tune out his agent who after all stands to profit most by having Frolov as a UFA this summer?

We’ll see.

Wait till this year.

by Quisp on Jan 21, 2010 3:59 PM PST reply actions  

Can’t wait to read the article detailing what if the Kings had never traded for Ron Grahame back in 1977…

2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!

by DodgerBlueBalls on Jan 21, 2010 4:19 PM PST reply actions  

Thanks for the thoughts, Rich!

I don’t see Marleau asking for a raise next season with whatever team is willing to sign him on and I don’t see Frolov asking for anything longer than 3 years and/or $4mil per (which is on the HIGH end). He’s not the face of the team nor a well-known cog like Getzlaf and (scarily) the Sedin Twins, respectively. Although, I probably say “well-known” because not many people follow the Kings; my evidence to this statement is the fact that people still don’t know how ridiculously monstrous Drew Doughty is.

by Connie Kim on Jan 22, 2010 3:30 PM PST reply actions  

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