Thursday's Games: Kings do their best to keep it interesting (standings update)
The Good: Flames lose, Yotes half-lose, Hawks lose,
The Bad: Kings lose, Preds win, Sharks win.
Also: Stars lose.
So?
- Kings blew a chance to pick up a point against Phoenix. I'm going to pretend that's okay, for now. Phoenix has a tough schedule. They should lose a few more.
- Calgary made it harder on themselves. They now have eight games to do six or seven points better than the Wings or Nashville. For example, if the Wings go 4-5-0, the Flames have to go 6-1-1. If the Wings go 5-4-0, the Flames have to go 7-0-1.
- The Stars are out. Cross them off.***
Here are the standings in points-blown* (if you haven't seen my version of standings before, scroll to the bottom for the explanation):
- Chicago Blackhawks 45 (1) +11
- San Jose Sharks 48 (2) +8
- Vancouver Canucks 54 (3) +2 [1st in div.]
- Phoenix Coyotes 50 (4) +6
- Los Angeles Kings 56 (6) --
- Colorado Avalanche 57 (7) -1
- Nashville Predators 59 (5) -3
- Detroit Red Wings 59 (8) -3
- Calgary Flames 65 (9) -9
- St. Louis Blues 69 (10) -13
Dallas StarsAnaheim DucksMinnesota WildColumbus Blue JacketsEdmonton Oilers
- Chicago Blackhawks**
- San Jose Sharks**
- Phoenix Coyotes**
- Vancouver Canucks 0-7-1
- Los Angeles Kings 2-6-1
- Colorado Avalanche 3-6-0
- Nashville Predators 2-5-0
- Detroit Red Wings 4-5-0
- Calgary Flames 6-2-0
- St. Louis Blues 8-0-0
Dallas StarsAnaheim DucksMinnesota WildColumbus Blue JacketsEdmonton Oilers
***95 points is the likely playoff threshold. It might end up being 94 or 96. 93 is unlikely to be enough for the teams currently on the outside looking in. For example, if Minnesota finishes with 93, they will have only about a 16% chance of making it -- yes, better than nothing, but not really, if you factor in the odds of them not losing another game, which are less than 1:1000. If Dallas makes it to 93, they have only a 5% shot (and it would take 7-0-1 to get there; odds of that happening: 2% -- so that's a 1 in 50 shot at getting to a place where they have a 1 in 20 shot; which is a 1 in a 1000 shot); Anaheim would have a 10% shot. At 94 points, the odds go up for those teams to around 20-33%, still not likely. At 95 points, it starts to be very likely that you'll make it. For the Kings (which is my focus), their odds are around 93% at that point total. And the odds of the Kings getting to that total are higher than 99%.
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It was a relief to look outside the window this morning and find that the sky is not falling.
Los Reyes have only lost 2 in a row, but both of those losses were on the road with 1 of those being in a shootout. There are some aspects of the Kings’ game which could use some improvement (power play and responsible play in their own end), but they have a solid command on qualifying for the playoffs. Let’s see how they respond tomorrow night against Dallas and after that at Minny and Nashville. I’m confident the Kings are going to answer this minor challenge and start building momentum towards the playoffs again.
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Mar 26, 2010 9:40 AM PDT reply actions
I personally am not worried.
If they can’t win twice (and a half) in nine games, I will be shocked. If I had to guess, I would put the range somewhere between 4-4-1 and 5-3-1, which is somewhere between 99 and 101 points. Which ought to be good for sixth or fifth. So…Vancouver or Phoenix (or San Jose).
Wait till this year.
It definitly sucked. Nut, are you still in the 619 area? If so, would you be interested in playing in an informal roller hockey scrimmige on Sunday afternoon at Skate SD? We’ve got a couple goalies, about 5 skaters per squad and the cost would be around $15 for an hour and a half.
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Mar 26, 2010 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions
That’s the one. We have a bunch of guys from OB that rent the rink for scrimmige like every other Sunday, so I’ll hit you up the next time we have a Sunday skate.
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Mar 26, 2010 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions

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