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The History of 50 Goal Scorers After Age 26

Before you read this post, I want you to play the following thought experiment.

We've all heard the various hypothetical/rumored long-term deals bandied about for Ilya Kovalchuk, everything from a (now considered shortish) seven years to an unimaginable 15 years. It's generally assumed that any deal cap-friendly enough for the Kings (or Devils) would have to be in the 10 year (plus) range, front-loaded, to bring the cap hit down. Which means it's likely that whoever signs Kovalchuk will be getting him for 10 years or more. Which is -- um -- a long time.

Here's the thought experiment: You sign IK for 10 years at a $7MM cap hit. How many 50 goal, 40 goal and 30 goal seasons do you need to get out of him to make the deal worth it? Assume he's going to play all ten years. How many times does he have to hit each milestone?

Take your time. Get the number in your head and hold it there and don't change it. Ready?

Star-divide

Okay. Now, here are some charts. Actually, it's one chart, rendered in two different formats. The first is a series of screen captures (which you have to click on to get the high-res version), because I wanted you to see the color graphics which I couldn't embed in the second chart. The second chart is the same data as the first chart(s), but it's sortable.

What's in the charts?

The charts show every player in the history of the NHL to have scored 50 goals in a season at least once. It shows the player's output (goals only) for each season of his career, each season indicated by the age of the player in that season. So you can, for example, look down the first column to see who scored how many goals at age 18, etc.. The second row calculates the average number of goals for all the players in this group who were active at that particular age (e.g. at age 25, the average output -- for this elite group of once-or-future 50 goal scorers -- is 37 goals). The color charts use the following exciting color code:

red = 50+

orange = 40-49

yellow = 30-39

pale yellow with gray font = 20-29

gray with dark gray font = 10-19

white with gray font = 0-9

black = retired

pale green = lockout year

A few other notes about the color charts. (1) there is a mistake in the Gretzky row; specifically, I left his strike-shortened (94-95) season blank by accident. (2) Bobby Hull has a long row of blank gray boxes; these are his WHL years. (3) active players under 27 are at the bottom of the chart; active players older than 27 are mixed in with the rest of the old people.

The black vertical line divides the chart between ages 26 and 27, because Kovalchuk is 27 and what we're interested in is, how well players of his caliber (defined broadly to include everyone who has ever scored 50 goals in a season) do after this age.

The red horizontal line is my subjective line in the sand, above which the careers post-age-26 are acceptable for a long term $7MM deal, below which, less than acceptable. Your results may vary.

The first thing I invite you to do is to shrink down your page as much as possible, so you can see all the color charts on one screen. Don't worry about reading the data. Just look at the pattern of the colors, in relation to the vertical black line and the horizontal red one. Those of us feeling especially optimistic about signing IK at $10MM cap hit for 10 years, or whatever, ought to be somewhat alarmed to see that there really isn't that much red or orange to the right of the black line.

[remember to click on the colored charts to get the hi-res versions]

Picture_9_medium

Picture_10_medium

Picture_11_medium

Picture_12_medium

Let me make some other observations:

  • Look at the numbers for the Great One and Super Mario. If you knew how they were going to perform from age 27 on, what kind of contract would you offer them? Neither one of them had careers to speak of after five years (age 32). Look at the other names in their neighborhood. Messier, The Rocket, Bossy. You wouldn't want to be paying $10MM a year (or even $7MM a year) for the careers of any of these guys after the age of 32.
  • Who has the best numbers from age 32 on? The sortable list is best for this. Or you can use the color charts and look for clumps of red and/or orange on the right side of the chart.
  • But there aren't any. The best you can hope for is (Esposito, Mullen, Gartner, Bucyk, Selanne) a bunch of 30 goal seasons with a 40 goal season thrown in once or twice. 
  • Before I ran these numbers, my vague notion was that the super big money for Kovy would be worth it if we got a couple of 50 goal seasons and maybe four or five 40 goal seasons out of him. And I thought I was being reasonable. How many players in the history of the league have been able to pull this off?
  • Esposito (five 50 goal seasons and two 40 goal seasons). Dionne (five 50 goal seaons and one 40 goal season). Bobby Hull (four 50 goal seasons and two 40 goal seasons). That's it. Three guys. Nobody in the last thirty years. But three of the biggest scorers in the history of the sport. They did it.
  • Gartner had a pretty good run of six 40 goal seasons. Mullen, too (one 50 and five 40s). Shanahan had four 40s and one of them was at age 37.
  • Bucyk scored 50 (for the first time!) at age 35. He's the oldest to do it. Shanahan and Bucyk both scored 40 at age 37. Selanne is the oldest player to have back-to-back 40 goal seasons (at age 35-36). Esposito had back to back 60 goal seasons at 31-32.
  • Just as an aside, look at Mike Bossy's numbers. Holy ****!
  • It occurred to me to look up how many players have tallied two 50 and four 40 goal seasons (or better) by age 27, as Kovalchuk has. Here they are:
  • Gretzky, Lemieux, Bossy, Robitaille, Yzerman, Bure, Kurri, Lafleur, Goulet, Ovechkin. There are two extremely pessimistic conclusions to draw from this comparison. (1) Six of these ten are the most spectacularly elite Hall of Fame players in NHL history; (2) none of them put up numbers to speak of after age 32. Ovechkin obviously hasn't had his chance yet. Three of these guys (at least) were limited by injuries (which is of course part of the problem; people get old). Lemieux, Robitaille and especially Yzerman became on-ice leaders with immeasurable value outside of goal-scoring. Maybe Kovalchuk is one of those guys. A hall-of-famer and a true leader. He hasn't demonstrated that yet. But neither did Yzerman, really.
  • With the sortable chart, it's fun to play with the columns to see which of these guys did the best (and worst at each age). Play around with it.
  • Also, check out the second row on the colored chart, which shows the average number of goals by this population at each age. Peak output is at 26-27, and declines from there, as you would expect. 

AGE 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43
Esposito 3 23 27 21 35 49 43 76 66 55 68 61 35 34 38 42 34 7          
Dionne 20 40 24 47 40 53 36 59 53 58 50 56 39 46 36 28 31 7            
Gartner 36 48 35 38 40 50 35 41 48 33 45 49 40 45 34 12 35 32 12          
Br. Hull 1 32 41 72 86 70 54 57 29 43 42 27 32 24 39 30 37 25        
Mullen 25 17 41 40 44 47 40 51 36 17 42 33 38 16 8 7        
Bobby Hull 13 18 39 31 50 31 43 39 54 52 44 58 38 44 50               6    
Shanahan 7 22 30 29 33 51 52 20 44 47 28 31 41 31 37 30 25   40 29 23 6      
Bondra         12 28 37 24 34 52 46 52 31 21 45 39 30 26   21 5          
Bucyk 1 10 21 24 16 19 20 27 18 26 27 18 30 24 31 51 32 40 31 29 36 20 5  
Selanne 76 25 22 40 51 52 47 33 33 29 28 16   40 48 12 27 27        
Jagr 27 32 34 32 32 62 47 35 44 42 52 31 36 31   54 30 25                
Ciccarelli 18 55 37 38 15 44 52 41 44 41 21 38 41 28 16 22 35 16 6          
Pronovost 16 20 21 30 21 40 43 52 33 40 28 24 22 1              
Middleton 22 24 20 25 38 40 44 51 49 47 30 14 31 13                  
Messier 12 23 50 48 37 23 35 37 37 33 45 12 35 25 26 14 47 36 22 13 17 24 7 18 18
M. Richard 5 32 50 27 45 28 20 43 42 27 28 37 38 38 33 15 17 19          
Gretzky 51 55 92 71 87 73 52 62 40 54 40 41 31 16 38   23 25 23 9          
Lemieux 43 48 54 70 85 45 19 44 69 17   69 50       35 6 28 1   7      
Bossy 53 69 51 68 64 60 51 58 61 38                          
LeClair 2 8 19 19 26 51 50 51 43 40 7 25 18 23   22 2            
Andreychuk 14 38 31 36 25 30 28 40 36 41 54 53 22 28 27 14 15 20 20 21 20 21   6  
Iginla 21 13 28 29 31 52 35 41   35 39 50 35 32                      
Robitaille 45 53 46 52 45 44 63 44 23 23 24 16 39 36 37 30 11 22   15        
Yzerman 39 30 14 31 50 65 62 51 45 58 24 12 36 22 24 29 35 18 13 2 18   14      
Fedorov 31 32 34 56 20 39 30 6 26 27 32 31 36 31   12 18 11 11        
Barber 30 34 34 50 20 41 34 40 43 45 27 22                      
Kurri 32 32 45 52 71 68 54 43 44 33 23 23 27 31 10 18 13 5            
Sakic 23 39 48 29 48 28 19 51 22 27 41 28 54 26 26 33   32 36 13 2        
Lafleur 29 28 21 53 56 56 60 52 50 27 27 27 30 2       18 12 12        
Bure 34 60 60 20 6 23 51 13 58 59 34 19                        
Shutt 8 15 30 45 60 49 37 47 35 31 35 14 18                      
Stoughton 5 23 6 56 43 52 45 28                          
MacLeish 2 1 50 32 38 22 49 31 26 31 38 19 0 10                  
Tkachuk 3 28 41 22 50 52 40 36 22 35 38 31 33   15 27 27 25 13            
Modano 29 28 33 33 50 12 36 35 21 34 38 33 34 28 14   27 22 21 15 14        
Nicholls 14 28 41 46 36 33 32 70 39 25 20 13 19 22 19 12 6 0            
Leach 2 13 23 22 45 61 32 24 34 50 34 26 15                      
Kehoe 8 33 18 32 29 30 29 27 30 55 33 29 18 0                    
Sheppard 38 22 4 24 36 32 52 30 37 29 18 25 10                    
Fleury 14 31 51 33 34 40 29 46 29 27 40 15 30 24 12                  
Hadfield 3 5 14 18 16 13 20 26 20 22 50 28 27 31 30                
Mogilny 15 30 39 76 32 19 55 31 18 14 24 43 24 33 8 12                
Simmer 8 1 2 0 21 56 56 15 29 44 34 36 29 11                    
Bellows 35 41 26 31 26 40 23 55 35 30 40 33 8 23 16 6 17                  
Trottier 32 30 46 47 42 31 50 34 40 28 37 23 30 17 13 9 11 4              
Heatley 26 41 13 50 50 41 39 39                            
Kerr 22 21 11 54 54 58 58 3 48 24 10 7 0                    
Stevens 5 12 29 40 54 55 41 15 1 14 14 23 3 10 1              
LaFontaine 13 19 30 38 47 45 54 41 46 53 5 12 40 2 23                      
Nieuwendyk 5 51 51 45 45 22 38 36 21 14 30 39 28 15 29 25 17 22   26 5      
McDonald 14 17 37 46 47 43 40 35 40 66 33 19 28 14 10 11                
Geoffrion 8 30 22 29 38 29 19 27 22 30 50 23 23 21 17 5                  
Hodge 6 10 25 45 25 43 16 37 50 23 25 21 2                    
Loob 30 37 31 18 50 27                              
Ogrodnick 8 35 28 41 42 55 38 23 22 13 43 31 17 6                    
Vaive 26 22 33 54 51 52 35 33 32 43 31 29 25 1                      
Martin 44 37 52 52 49 36 28 32 45 8 1                          
Turgeon 14 34 40 32 40 58 38 24 38 26 22 31 26 30 15 12 15   16 4            
Anderson 30 38 48 54 42 54 35 38 16 34 24 24 22 21 12 6                
Hawerchuk 45 40 37 53 46 47 44 41 26 31 23 16 35 5 17 12                    
Roenick 9 26 41 53 50 46 10 32 29 24 24 34 30 21 27 19   9 11 14 4        
Recchi 1 30 40 43 53 40 16 28 34 32 16 28 27 22 20 26   28 24 14 23 18    
Graves 7 9 7 26 36 52 17 22 33 23 38 23 10 17 9                  
Kariya 18 50 44 17 39 42 33 32 25 11   31 24 16 2 18                
Hejduk 14 36 41 21 50 35 24 35 29 27 23                      
Neely 16 21 14 36 42 37 55 51 9 11 50 27 26                          
J. Richard 13 27 17 12 2 10 3 52 15 9                            
Grant 3 34 29 34 18 32 29 50 10 2 12                        
Goulet 28 22 32 42 57 56 55 53 49 48 26 20 27 22 23 16                    
Secord 16 23 13 44 54 4 15 40 29 15 6 14                        
Larouche 31 53 29 23 9 50 25 34 18 48 24 20 28 3                      
Roberts 5 13 22 39 22 53 38 41 2 22 20 14 23 29 21 5 28   14 20 3 4    
Maruk 30 28 36 31 10 50 60 31 17 19 21 16 7 0                    
Richer 21 20 50 25 51 31 29 38 36 23 20 22 14 12 15 14                  
Gare 31 50 11 39 27 56 46 20 26 13 27 7 1                      
Simpson 11 26 56 35 29 30 24 24 8 4                                
Carson 37 55 49 21 21 34 37 11 9 1                                
Babych 27 26 54 19 16 13 20 17                                
Carpenter 32 32 28 53 27 9 19 16 25 8 25 11 10 5 5 4 9 2                
Redmond 6 9 27 20 42 52 51 15 11                              
Leeman 4 5 9 21 30 32 51 17 9 15 4 2                          
Bullard 1 36 22 51 32 41 30 48 27 27 14                            
Chouinard 17 28 50 31 31 23 13 12                                
Ovechkin 52 46 65 56 50                                      
Cheechoo 9 28   56 37 23 12 5                            
Lecavalier 13 25 23 20 33 32 35 52 40 29 24                            
Kovalchuk 29 38 41   52 42 52 43 41                                  
Crosby 39 36 24 33 51                                          
Stamkos 23 51                                                

 

I'm not arguing against signing Kovalchuk. I like Kovalchuk. But when people decry the lack of "balls" of Kings management, and wonder why they don't just "man up" and sign the guy at $100MM/10 years, this is why. He won't be worth it in ten years. Or even five. But he will be more than worth it at the right price, with a contract that is not only affordable, but is a valuable tradable asset five years from now. Instead of an albatross.

2 recs  |  Comment 22 comments |

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But you used math. Math isn’t relevant to Kovalchuk! Grossman says.

So if 27 is the peak, when do goal totals really start to fall off the cliff? 34-35?

In Dinglebarn We Trust

by Niesy on Jul 17, 2010 1:31 PM PDT reply actions  

Yikes...

This is really sobering data. Looks like one of the factors that separate good from great players is continued high scoring into their early thirties. Where IK fits into this, we don’t know.

A lot of the players listed played on Cup winning teams. IT would be interesting to know how winning a championship fits into the age versus goals analysis.

by Steve S. on Jul 17, 2010 1:59 PM PDT reply actions  

Wow, Great Chart

Should be an eye opener for many of your followers.

The chart is something I’ve known intuitively but have never seen quantified/verified. It server to reinforce my concerns about this or any long term “block buster” deal in the current cap era; In any form these are pay now or pay later propositions no matter how its structured.

I am inclined to feel a home grown stay the course plan, mixed with subtle trades and pickups is the path to developing a consistent competitor.

One thing about that chart….Dionne! Kovalchuk is no Dionne. I doubt Kovalchuk is worthy of taping Dionne’s sticks or setting Marcel’s golf tees.

I went to perhaps 30 games a year during the Dionne era and to say he was a great one is understatement. Imagine, 50 goals after age 27 while playing against men like Williams, Schultz, Plett, Howe, Clark, Robinson, McDonald, Sitler and others night after night.

I shake my head at all the defense talent Cook gave away to save money during that era. Cook could easily have had a cup contender.

.

by USHA#17 on Jul 17, 2010 2:01 PM PDT reply actions  

Boy, that last paragraph resembles a tweet I made. No, we should not pay Kovalchuk $100 M over 10 years. But if paying the man during his prime gets us a Cuo, why not do it?

There’s no doubt your analysis is solid. And it’s almost a certainty that his production starts to fade in a few years but if this gets us a Cup, it’s worth it.

by Keith Korneluk on Jul 17, 2010 2:14 PM PDT reply actions  

So this is what you've been working on!

Whenever there is an usually long delay between your posts, Quisp, I start to figure something large, analytical, and number heavy is coming.

Very interesting. My original guess was 2 seasons at 50+, 3 at 40+ and then 4-5 at 30+….anyone else?

by JZarris on Jul 17, 2010 2:16 PM PDT reply actions  

I figured 3 @ 40+ 2 @ 35+ 2 @ 30+

by USHA#17 on Jul 17, 2010 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

agreed — i wouldn’t expect to see him score >50 again

by Diomedes7 on Jul 17, 2010 10:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed, pretty much

I don’t think he’ll top 50 again, either. My own personal guess is that he will total about 200 goals over the next 5 seasons — essentially, he’ll plateau at about 40 per — and then decline after that.

Which is why a heavily front-loaded contract is indeed best, if it is to run more than 6 years, and why the exact terms of the NTC/NMC will be important. The Kings will want the flexibility to trade or buy him out once his effectiveness declines.

by DougX on Jul 17, 2010 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

This chart just goes to show why a front loaded contract is so appropriate. Pay the man his ten mil a year til he is 35, then taper down. Shoot, I would be okay with a ntc during the same period as well.

by Booby_McNipples on Jul 17, 2010 6:59 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Philya Espochuk

Let’s hope our soon-to-be-sniper ages as gracefully as #77 in the spindrift and glitz of his new Angelic climate.

i'll show you my butt tattoo if you'll show me yours

by falmer on Jul 17, 2010 9:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Er... #7

Whoops!

Which makes me wonder… Maybe if IK changed his number?

I mean, Simmonds could relinquish. But still, to step into the shadow of J.P. Kelly would be a tall order for even someone like Kovi.

i'll show you my butt tattoo if you'll show me yours

by falmer on Jul 17, 2010 9:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Interesting, but....

there are other variables at play other than age (though age is definitely a factor). For one thing, there have been trends in style of play that have caused league-wide fluctuations in scoring. ( a nice chart can be found here http://www.dropyourgloves.com/Stat/LeagueGoals.aspx). A player that may have scored at a high clip during the offensively-oriented 80’s and early 90’s could have seen a big drop in production as the league trended towards defence in the late 90’s, for example.
14 guys potted 50+ in 92-93, yet it took from 96 up to the lockout combined to equal that number. While it’s possible that this reflects differences in new talent and the effects of aging on veterans, it’s also possible that it largely reflects changes in style of play.

Perhaps first normalizing goals per season in relation to league-wide average goals per game (or some other league-wide indicator) would be telling. Not sure how much it would change it, but i think it might push the data to the right.

by -J on Jul 17, 2010 10:33 PM PDT reply actions  

it's a slippery slope though.

is style of play a bigger factor than quality of linemates? what about overall player quality, expansion, changes in equipment, arrival of Europeans, etc etc? what about the fact that I’m not even looking at assists? or goals in relation to wins? or goals-to-cups?

the problem with the urge to “adjust” every stat is that instead of making it a better reflection of reality, the adjustment pollutes it with/by the prejudices of the person drawing up the stat. I think defense and coaching are really important, so I could adjust the numbers relative to each coach’s overall GPG avg. but that just shifts the burden to the user to decide with whether or not he/she agrees with the beliefs of the person who put the chart together. you would actually have to expend energy “de-adjusting” the numbers to get back to the pure number, which is how old was so-and-so when he scored x.

(and when you look only at that number — age — I think it’s pretty persuasive that, no matter what other variables are in play, no-one escapes the observed effect, no one keeps up their production…)

I prefer not to compound things. keep it clean, then we can all argue about who played with orr and who played in the 80s, or in the slow puck era, or whatever.

Wait till this year.

by Quisp on Jul 18, 2010 1:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

One change that would be nice to know is the goals scored/per game played.

Yeah, I know that we don’t really want to be paying a player a ton of money to be injured because he is older, but some of those players may have still been more productive than the numbers suggest if for instance they scored only 20 goals but in 40 games instead of 80. I think its a better indicator on the impact they had when they played.

by GoKings09 on Jul 18, 2010 2:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm sure they all were more productive than their goal totals indicate

but if you correct for games played, and minutes played for that matter, you’re essentially conceding the point, which is that older players don’t play as many games or as many minutes as they did when they were younger. Which is a contributing factor to the drop off in their production.

When Kovalchuk is 35, and the Kings still have 7 years left on his deal, we’re not going to be able to trade that contract by telling people that he is still producing at his original pace if you correct for games and minutes played.

Wait till this year.

by Quisp on Jul 18, 2010 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

Quisp tips us off to his real audience in his last paragraph

The problem is that those people are not susceptible to logic, facts or common sense; if they were, they wouldn’t believe that nonsense in the first place. They out me in mind of Homer Simpson trying to forbid Bart from jumping Springfield Gorge on his skateboard: “… and God help me, I even tried reasoning with you….”

I guess my version of that is that I am exasperated by people who declare that getting Kovalchuk is “essential,” and even that the Kings won’t be a playoff team without him. You just want to grab them by the collar and slap some sense back into them.

Getting Kovalchuk will be very helpful at the right price, but not essential. Even without him, the Kings should be a slightly better team next year, since the cap hit they don’t spend on him will go to bringing back (or replacing) Frolov and replacing O’Donnell. Swap in Bernier for Ersberg, figure on incremental improvements in Doughty, Kopitar, Simmonds and Johnson, and this will be a 100+ point team again.

So what do I think is the right price for Kovalchuk? I’m not worried about that right now because frankly, I think the right price for the Kings is whatever Lombardi says it is. I’m not entirely comfortable with the phrase “In Dean we trust,” but I do think that the precedents that he has set over the last several years suggest that he won’t get carried away and that he’d sooner cut off his own right arm than risk his ability to build an elite team that will contend for the next decade. I’m confident that he and Solomon have put a lot of time into gaming out scenarios for signing Kovalchuk and working around his contract in the years to come, and that he knows what he can afford to offer and what he can’t. The fact that negotiations have dragged on this long also suggests to me that Lombardi is sticking to his guns and won’t be budged, no matter what. Basically, I trust at this point that there is a 0% chance of him agreeing to a deal with Kovalchuk if he is concerned that it will hurt the Kings within the next 5 years.

by DougX on Jul 17, 2010 11:53 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Massive Effort on This Graph

Some posts are food for thought- this is a gluttonous feast worthy of a Roman Emperor.

Like I said with my post under “No Fro, Oh No,” it really comes down to dollars per goal, and beyond that, dollars per goals in differential. Kovi might get a 50 goal season, even twice or three times, but what will his plus/minus be?

And leadership on the level of Yzerman is rare, and for me is not likely enough in Kovalchuk’s case to even warrant quantifying in money terms. It seems more likely that he could have a negative effect, by not exhibiting the defensive commitment Murray has instilled in Kopi, and Frolov, etc.

A Prima Donaski cherry-picking and skating by his checks, with a massive percentage of team salary tied up in one player that would take one injury to really hurt the team, that has exhibited zero playoff competence. I would rather have 2 guys for 4.5 million, or three guys for 3 million.

But, to be fair and observe a positive element in the Kovi situation, here is what nobody else has really factored in, or else it has at least not gotten much attention. Ryan Smyth is not young. He makes a lot of money. His contract will end in 2012, after Doughty and Simmonds and Johnson have been resolved. So, if Lombardi can sign Kovi, and then give raises to Doughty and Simmonds and Johnson, he really only has one year where he is stretched to the point of needing to use min-salary fillers, because he will get 6.25 million of relief when Smyth’s contract expires.

Still, Kovi at 7.5 to 8.5 front loaded for ten years seems like the best-case scenario that could realistically happen, and that, for me, is too much for too long. That kind of money for 4-5 years, maybe. But a ten-year deal? The risks (Jason Allison) are just (Adam Deadmarsh) too high.

End Corporate Personhood.

by Player-X on Jul 18, 2010 7:34 AM PDT reply actions  

Thanks Quisp. Some fascinating info that I had never wrapped my head around.

Wow, what amazed me…. and I mean Amazed me, was how you drew attention to Mike Bossy. Gadsooks. That guy was serious business. Then he retired (can’t remember why) w/o the falloff. Just incredible. Also, it’s so easy to forget how good some people were. When Marcel was playing I saw him often and thought he was a genius, then of course one forgets just How good he was.
It’s really thorough the work you do Quisp. I know you know that, but wanted to thank you. It really makes this whole thing far more interesting and DEFINITELY brings in the shades and nuances that most people don’t even bother with. Sign him and we’ll win 4 cups, don’t sign him and we’ll be lining up for the next lottery picks. That sort of thing which at times does make reading some of the comments a bit of a challenge.

by number 6 on Jul 18, 2010 9:32 AM PDT reply actions  

In retrospect, now that Kovy has signed

this chart seems really telling. there’s just so much you can draw out from the info here. great job. And for what it’s worth, I just don’t see Kovy being the long-term leadership intangibles sort of guy that Yzerman was.

happy ninja is happy....and wants to share its new toy!

by puppetmasterp on Jul 19, 2010 2:01 PM PDT reply actions  

Fantastic work

Japers' Rink: Hockey blogging from the most powerful city in the world

by J.P. on Jul 20, 2010 8:02 AM PDT reply actions  

Howdy from SCH and Rec'd

This got linked over by us and I just wanted to say well done.

by Delta0ne1 on Jul 22, 2010 7:44 AM PDT reply actions  

The goal leaders before Age 26 are awesome. Jimmy Carson. Dale Hawerchuk.

I think the key thing is that almost nobody in the history of the NHL is a true ironman. Eventually everybody breaks down, usually after 10 years of peak performance. Kovy has fewer miles on him because he hasn’t played in the playoffs, so maybe he can keep it up until he’s 31 or 32.

by Hawerchuk on Jul 24, 2010 8:18 AM PDT reply actions  

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The Kovalchuk Problem: Part 3 - The NeverEnding Story
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RIP Dan Avey
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Scoring winger
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I can fix the regular season schedule for better parity
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Midsummer Night's Scream: July/August Freak Out Session
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The Kovalchuk arbitrator
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Kings Milestone: Clean Sweep Complete
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Typical Off-Season For Kings

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PHILADELPHIA - MAY 16:  A fan of the Philadelphia Flyers holds up a sign reading "Next Goalie" behind goalie Carey Price #32 of the Montreal Canadiens in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals during the 2010 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Wachovia Center on May 16, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

Habs Finally Lock Up Carey Price, Sign Goalie To Two-Year Deal

National Hockey League commissioner Gary Bettman answers questions during a pre-game media availability before the Pittsburgh Penguins season opener against the New York Rangers in a NHL hockey game in Pittsburgh, Friday, Oct. 2, 2009. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar) +25 updates

Ultimatum? NHL Reportedly Threatens To Toss Out Kovalchuk, Luongo Deals Without NHLPA Concessions

CHICAGO - APRIL 07: Antti Niemi #31 of the Chicago Blackhawks takes a break during a game against the St. Louis Blues at the United Center on April 7, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Blackhawks defeated the Blues 6-5. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) +3 updates

Antti Niemi Signs One-Year, $2 Million Deal With Sharks

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