People Smarter Than Me Send Loktionov to Manchester
by Quisp on Feb 20, 2011 3:47 PM PST
in Weird Science
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Andrei Loktionov has been assigned back to the AHL’s Manchester Monarchs. Loktionov had three goals and two assists during his most recent stint with the Kings, but given Terry Murray’s recent comments, the writing seemed to be on the wall for Loktionov. The move also potentially opens a roster spot for Marco Sturm.
I am unhappy but will reserve judgment for seven days and 21 hours. Ironically, today's post was to be (and now is) an updated version of the Winning Percentage by Player chart. I have added several columns. They are:
- g/60 -- goals per 60 minutes of icetime (from behindthenet.com).
- GAON/60 -- goals-against which the player is on the ice for, per 60 minutes of icetime (from behindthenet.com).
- SH% -- shooting percentage (goals per shot) (from NHL.com).
- Gv -- giveaways per game played (NHL.com).
- Tk-Gv -- Takeaways minus giveaways, per game (NHL.com).
- PDO -- the sum of the team's shooting% and save% when a given player is on the ice (behindthenet).
- avg. -- the player's average rank in the previous seven columns.
Take this whole exercise as food for thought, a leaping-off point, written in pencil -- whatever cliche you want to use for take it with a grain of salt. How about just "take it with a grain of salt." The meaning of any given stat changes with context; some -- like PDO -- are controversial and/or flawed. The caveat for every stat is "all things being equal" and we know that "all things" never are.
The fact that Andrei Loktionov kicks ass in these numbers does not mean he should immediately replace Kopitar or that Sturm sucks. It just means, hey maybe this has something to do with why I'm sorry to see him go, why I've felt better about the team over the last 3+ weeks. Or, they might (they being the numbers) add something to the conversation about Loktionov's perceived deficits (missed assignments, turnovers, etc.). Some other observations after the charty goodness [UPDATE: a glitch appears to have eaten the post-chart comments; I am looking for a cached version of the page to reinstate them].
W%
G/60
GAON/60
SH%
Gv
Tk-Gv
PDO
avg
Loktionov
0.763
1.06
1.32
0.154
0.474
0.053
1041
3.4
Sturm
0.400
0.99
1.65
0.160
0.267
0.000
1060
5.7
Kopitar
0.576
0.73
1.92
0.089
0.508
0.339
1026
6.9
Stoll
0.576
1.02
2.21
0.108
0.305
0.000
1004
7.4
Ponikarovsky
0.718
0.57
1.27
0.073
0.462
-0.205
1016
8.6
Brown
0.576
0.84
1.82
0.127
0.831
-0.441
1030
8.7
Handzus
0.576
0.53
2.30
0.127
0.492
-0.186
1017
9.6
Smyth
0.576
0.69
2.14
0.120
0.542
-0.169
1005
9.7
Williams
0.576
1.07
2.22
0.116
0.847
-0.424
1018
9.9
Harrold
0.528
0.29
1.74
0.083
0.333
-0.056
1017
10.0
Simmonds
0.598
0.79
2.27
0.105
0.518
-0.071
999
10.0
Richardson
0.552
0.60
3.02
0.083
0.208
0.250
959
11.7
Scuderi
0.576
0.12
2.02
0.059
0.661
-0.339
1027
12.1
Martinez
0.538
0.22
1.76
0.067
0.359
-0.308
999
13.0
Clifford
0.564
0.46
2.87
0.075
0.273
-0.127
967
13.1
Lewis
0.531
0.26
2.30
0.026
0.224
0.163
957
13.7
Doughty
0.566
0.30
2.19
0.084
0.887
-0.660
1015
14.3
Mitchell
0.662
0.00
1.92
0.033
0.971
-0.882
1009
14.7
Greene
0.563
0.09
1.76
0.030
0.604
-0.479
999
15.4
Drewiske
0.528
0.00
2.33
0.000
0.333
-0.167
999
15.6
Johnson
0.576
0.11
2.81
0.045
0.661
-0.424
995
15.9
Westgarth
0.488
0.00
2.91
0.000
0.171
-0.049
937
16.0
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Comments
This is not the news that I wanted to come back home to.
GASHFHGASDgkslfjlkhnmslkdfnbkf cll;;
OK, let’s go, Sturmy.
In Dinglebarn We Trust -- JftC
With Loki-
Each line has one creative guy that can create their own offense
1st-Kopi
2nd-Williams
3rd-Loki
4th-Poni (maybe not creative, but he was definitely driving the net well with the old lines, even if he didn’t score)
I will say Brown and Loki had pretty poor chemistry, but I would put that more towards Brown being a doof and Loki deferring the puck to him when he should shoot it. But that line did get some chances because they were playing against worse competition and Loki was the best part of it. I didn’t like Clifford with him either because Clifford also passes the puck off way too much when he should keep it and try to do something with it (hopefully that will come with time). I agree with Rudy that Poni on that line with Loki and Brown may have been great. Hopefully Loki going down is either for a trade or he’s coming back because we are a boring team in the offensive zone without him
For every moment of triumph, for every instance of beauty, many souls must be trampled.
Yes. And what about what that creativity could do on the second unit power play with Williams? Damn, damn damn it. I already miss that.
(And yeah, I know we need to make room for Sturm and don’t want to hand Harrold or Drewiske to the likes of Vancouver for free, but a few days ago TM said those decisions “weren’t tied at the hip.” Back when he liked his game enough to say that.)
In Dinglebarn We Trust -- JftC
Why break what isn’t broken? The first game Loktionov is out of the line-up, Kings point streak ends. Fighting for a playoff spot, you need your best players out there and I think Loktionov has shown he is a valuable part of the team. I’m hoping Sturm lights it up and makes DL and TM look like geniuses but right now I just don’t get it. I think it is safe to say that Loktionov has exceeded expectations.
Crazy sh##.
What? Waivers? Potential Sturm return? Not losing Harrold and/or Drewiske before putting together a package? Heck, beats me.
Risky with the team playing so well, the race so tight and ticket prices rising. In some ways it reminds me of last season.
Are Teemu Selanne and Melanie Griffith Twins?
Don't Like This Move At All
Even on the Kings streak, which ended last night, they had hardly broken out of their offensive doldrums – just getting it done defensively more often. So why take one of the few creative offensive players you have out of the line-up? Surprised me a little, but not when I thought it about for a minute – the Kings pattern has been to send down or get ride of good offensive players if they didn’t like their defensive game. Just hope it doesn’t lead to more 2-1 or 1-0 type losses, as I fear it might.
Stupid Hockey Buzz
That idiot Eklund is once again pushing the “Schenn to Toronto” bull****. What a load of crap.
It’s completely transparent, totally obvious manipulation for clicks…and yet, depressingly effective. I hate that site.
Another person on my dislike list? Dater. Still.
I don’t know about the truth of it or anything but I’d wager money that trade rumor idea came from the Colorado camp. Bernier and Johnson would be pieces they’d lust after rather than ones we’d be looking to move. Then they make the trade idea public to put pressure on DL.
It’s going to be a long week. Sigh.
In Dinglebarn We Trust -- JftC
Not Unexpected But I Don't Like It
As Quisp points out (maybe facetisouly) the people that run the Kings know a lot more about hockey than I do. Still, I don’t get it.
I’d like to think the move was not made just to keep Harrold or Drewiske off the waiver wire, but part of the master plan to have the Kings ready to challenge for the cup in 2012.
But what about this season? The Kings are way to talented to miss the playoffs and can definitely use Loktinov’s scoring touch and creativity. They already missed him Saturday in Long Island.
All I know is that Sturm better be ready to contribute.
Rich Ramus
Felt the same way last season with Bernier
This season has shown Johnny Q. is the #1 guy, but certainly last season before the playoffs when he was obviously running on fumes, Bernier appeared to be the guy, but the Kings sent him down…No sure other than some kind of games played rule affecting contract status why would the Kings be shipping out one of their bigger difference makers of late? Don’t like the move, other guys on the roster a lot more demoteable in my book.
DERP-tastic
I’ll be in the corner weeping…
"My lovelife is like my personality: dry"
"Drink and be merry, for tomorrow we die. And by "we" I mean you.
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