The Real Standings

Q NHL   PTS W% PRJ LSF PB +/- TO 97 GR GRb W! SS SSGR GD Qcl
1 1 VAN 109 0.7171 117.6 103 43 18 n/a 6 2 46 1 1 72 110
2 2 DET 97 0.6467 106.1 102 53 8 0-7-0 7 4 40 3 LAK 29 95
3 3 SJS 97 0.6382 104.7 113 55 6 0-6-0 6 6 39 0 1 25 95
4 5 LAK 92 0.6133 100.6 101 58 3 2-4-1 7 4 34 n/a n/a 26 90
5 6 NAS 92 0.6053 99.3 100 60 1 2-3-1 6 0 35 4 LAK 23 90
6 8 CHI 88 0.5946 97.5 112 60 1 4-3-1 8 0 35 -8 CHI 35 90
7 4 PHX 93 0.6039 99.0 107 61 0 2-3-0 5 2 37 -2 1 7 90
8 7 ANA 89 0.5933 97.3 89 61 0 4-3-0 7 3 38 1 2 -3 90
9 10 DAL 86 0.5811 95.3 88 62 -1 5-2-1 8 3 33 3 LAK -2 85
10 9 CGY 87 0.5649 92.6 90 67 -6 5-0-0 5 1 30 2 LAK 9 85
11 12 CBJ 77 0.5133 84.2 79 73 -12 n/a 7 3 29 3 LAK -30 75
12 11 MIN 78 0.5200 85.3 84 72 -11 n/a 7 1 33 1 LAK -25 80
13 13 STL 77 0.5133 84.2 90 73 -12 n/a 7 2 30 -8 STL -7 75
14 14 COL 64 0.4324 70.9 95 84 -23 n/a 8 5 23 8 LAK -55 65
15 15 EDM 57 0.3800 62.3 62 93 -32 n/a 7 1 21 5 LAK -69 55

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season's final point total. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 96 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. GRb is games-remaining against the six "blue" teams. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team  name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal--differential. Qcl is clustered points, which corrects for variance in games-played and then rounds point totals to the nearest multiple of 5. The idea is to emphasize which teams are bunched together, or, to put it another way, are "more or less tied." It may be useless or annoying. Feel free to ignore. 

Observations:

  • Oops. There's a mistake on the default sort. MIN should be ahead of CBJ, according to W% and PB.
  • Five points blown separate 9th place Dallas from 10th place Calgary. As I said last night, Calgary is all but doomed. Even if they never lose again. 
  • The Kings are 3 points-blown from 1st in the Pacific and 4 from 9th place. Anything can still happen.
  • The Kings have the fewest tie-breaker wins of any team they might actually tie, except for Dallas. 
  • They're only one win behind Nashville and Chicago, though. Must. Close. Gap.
  • Chicago and Nashville don't have any games left against the blue teams (the teams in blue font -- the ones in the logjam).
  • The Kings have four against the blue teams. That's the most of any of the blue teams. 
  • Of non-blue teams, San Jose has the most games against blue teams (6). Therefore, their influence on how things shake out  is huge. 
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