The Penultimate Real Standings and Match-Up Variations
Tonight's results
The Good:
The Bad: Kings lost.
Tomorrow's Games
CHI @ DET
If Chicago wins in regulation:
- It's a four-way tie for 4th.
- The ROW tie-breaker gives ANA 4th, CHI 5th, with Nashville and Phoenix tied in ROWs.
- Those two teams proceed to the head-to-head, in which they are also tied. So it's on to goal-differential, in which Nashville prevails.
- Chicago would play Anaheim. Nashville would play Detroit. Phoenix would play San Jose. And LA plays Vancouver. However:
If Chicago wins in a shoot-out:
- then it's still a four-way tie for 4th, and Anaheim still gets 4th because of the ROW tie-breaker, but now:
- it's a three-way tie in ROWs among Nashville, Phoenix and Chicago -- they proceed to the head-to-head tie-breaker, and in that particular three-way, the winner is...still Chicago.
- However, now Phoenix is 6th and Nashville is 7th. Because it's the head-to-head-to-head records which decide the standings, and in their respective records against each other, Nashville is the worst.
- Chicago still plays Anaheim. But now, Nashville plays San Jose, and Phoenix plays Detroit.
- LA still plays Vancouver.
- Chicago and LA are tied for 7th, and Chicago takes 7th place thanks to the ROW tie-breaker, and opens in San Jose.
- Anaheim plays Nashville.
- Phoenix plays Detroit.
- LA still plays Vancouver.
- Hmmm. Well, that depends on the outcome of our next game...
If Chicago loses in regulation, and Dallas wins in a shoot-out or loses either in regulation, OT or SO:
- Chicago takes 8th and opens against Vancouver.
- The Kings take 7th and open against San Jose.
- Dallas lands in 9th and misses the playoffs with either 95, 96 or 97 points. But...
- Chicago and Dallas are tied for 8th, and tied in ROWs.
- They proceed to the head-to-head tie-breaker, which favors Dallas.
- Dallas takes 8th and opens against Vancouver.
- The Kings take 7th and open against San Jose.
- Chicago goes home, missing the playoffs with 97 points.
Now, the updated standings:
| Q | NHL | PTS | W% | PRJ | MAX | LSF | PB | +/- | >9th | GR | W! | SS | SSGR | GD | |
| 1 | 1 | VAN | 117 | 0.7134 | 103 | 47 | 19 | 50 | -1 | VAN | 77 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | SJS | 105 | 0.6402 | 113 | 59 | 7 | 43 | -2 | SJS | 35 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | DET | 102 | 0.6296 | 103.3 | 104 | 102 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 3 | LAK | 19 | |
| 4 | 4 | ANA | 99 | 0.6037 | 89 | 65 | 1 | 43 | -3 | ANA | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | NAS | 99 | 0.6037 | 100 | 65 | 1 | 38 | 4 | LAK | 25 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | PHX | 99 | 0.6037 | 107 | 65 | 1 | 38 | -1 | PHX | 5 | ||||
| 7 | 8 | CHI | 97 | 0.5988 | 98.2 | 99 | 112 | 65 | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1 | 38 | -8 | CHI | 34 |
| 8 | 7 | LAK | 98 | 0.5976 | 101 | 66 | 0 | 36 | 21 | ||||||
| 9 | 9 | DAL | 95 | 0.5864 | 96.2 | 97 | 88 | 67 | -1 | 1-0-0 | 1 | 37 | 5 | LAK | -4 |
| 10 | 10 | CGY | 94 | 0.5732 | 90 | 70 | -4 | 32 | 2 | LAK | 13 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | STL | 87 | 0.5305 | 90 | 77 | -11 | 34 | -8 | STL | 6 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | MIN | 84 | 0.5185 | 85.0 | 86 | 84 | 78 | -12 | 1 | 35 | 1 | LAK | -29 | |
| 13 | 13 | CBJ | 81 | 0.4939 | 79 | 83 | -17 | 29 | 3 | LAK | -43 | ||||
| 14 | 14 | COL | 66 | 0.4074 | 66.8 | 68 | 95 | 96 | -30 | 1 | 23 | 8 | LAK | -62 | |
| 15 | 15 | EDM | 61 | 0.3765 | 61.8 | 63 | 62 | 101 | -35 | 1 | 23 | 7 | LAK | -75 |
Click on the headers to sort.
KEY:
- Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here).
- NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM.
- PRJ is projected point total for 82 games.
- LSF is last season's final point total.
- MAX is maximum points possible for that team.
- PB is points-blown.
- +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed.
- GR is games-remaining.
- W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker).
- SS and SSGR is season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss.
- GD is goal-differential.
- Five points separate 4th from 10th.
- Depending on the outcome of tomorrow's games, 2-4 points will separate 4th from 9th.
- And 1-2 points will separate 4th from 8th.
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Comments
Sucks
Sucks no matter how you look at it. Disappointing end to the season.
Offense remains the bugaboo, just could not finish scoring plays.
We got the help we needed
And we failed to help ourselves… On to the gallows…
"A wedding is a funeral where you smell your own flowers" -Eddie Cantor
I'm almost tempted to ask how long it took you to sort out the tie-breaker situation...
As far as matchups are concerned, looks like Vancouver is a real possibility and frankly I’m praying the Presidents Trophy curse is alive and real.
Light up that cactus / dumpster / halo!!
what's in it for Detroit?
They can somewhat decide if they play PHX or ANH. Do they have a bad record against either?
by Passemoilapuck on Apr 10, 2011 6:04 AM PDT via mobile reply actions













