Points-Blown Standings: March Madness Edition

  • Eighteen games to go.
  • It now looks like 93 points will be good enough to make it into the playoffs in the West. (At least, it's good enough in 90-95% of the sportsclubstats' 10,000,000 simulations.)
  • The Kings need a record of 11-6-1 to get there, which I continue to believe is doable.
  • If that seems like a tough road, it's pretty much the same one each of the nine teams (PHX, CHI, SJS, COL, LAK, CGY, ANA, MIN, DAL) must travel in the battle for the last four playoff spots.
  • Anaheim has the farthest to go, and the Kings can provide two of the 3.5 nails still needed for the Ducks' coffin (they need a 14-3-1 record to get to 93; and they also have to play DET, VAN, STL, SJS twice, NAS and PHX).
  • DAL, CGY, LAK and COL are clustered together with 2 official points separating them.
  • In points-blown, those four teams are joined by CHI on top and MIN on the bottom, with a spread of seven points-blown in all.
  • The Kings don't have much chance of catching CHI in ROWs (the first tie-breaker); the Hawks are 5 ROWs ahead. The Stars are four ahead. Everyone else in the cluster is within reach.
  • The Kings have beaten Dallas in the season series, lost to the Avs, tied Phoenix, and all the others (that could matter) are up for grabs.

KEY:

  • Q = my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here).
  • NHL = the official standings, via NHL.COM.
  • PRJ = projected point total for 82 games.
  • TO 93 = the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold.
  • PB = points-blown.
  • 8th+/- = the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed.
  • ROW = regulation plus OT (but not SO) wins. The first tie-breaker.
  • GD = goal-differential.
  • GP = games-played.
  • SS = season series, the Kings' point differential against the opponent in question.
  • SSGR = games remaining against that opponent.
  • Click on the headers to sort.

Q NHL W/L/OTL PTS W% PRJ to 93 PB 8th+/- ROW GD GP SS SSGR
1 1 VAN 41-16-8 90 0.6923 113.5 1-15-1 40 17 34 50 65 1 1
2 2 DET 42-19-3 87 0.6797 111.5 2-14-2 41 16 35 51 64 -4 2
3 4 STL 40-18-7 87 0.6692 109.8 2-13-2 43 14 36 36 65 2 1
4 5 NAS 37-20-7 81 0.6328 103.8 5-11-2 47 10 34 16 64 0 2
5 3 PHX 33-22-9 75 0.5859 96.1 8-8-2 53 4 28 8 64 tie 0
6 7 SJS 33-23-7 73 0.5794 95.0 9-8-2 53 4 27 18 63 -1 3
7 6 CHI 34-24-7 75 0.5769 94.6 8-7-2 55 2 30 5 65 2 1
8 8 DAL 33-26-5 71 0.5547 91.0 10-6-2 57 0 29 -7 64 LAK 0
9 9 LAK 29-23-12 70 0.5469 89.7 11-6-1 58 -1 25 1 64 - -
10 11 CGY 29-24-11 69 0.5391 88.4 11-5-2 59 -2 26 -20 64 -1 1
11 10 COL 33-28-4 70 0.5385 88.3 11-5-1 60 -3 26 -7 65 COL 1
12 12 MIN 28-26-10 66 0.5156 84.6 13-4-1 62 -5 22 -29 64 2 1
13 13 ANA 27-27-10 64 0.5000 82.0 14-3-1 64 -7 24 -19 64 2 2
14 14 EDM 25-32-6 56 0.4444 72.9 n/a 70 -13 22 -20 63 -3 2
15 15 CBJ 19-38-7 45 0.3516 57.7 n/a 83 -26 16 -64 64 2 1
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