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The Return of the Real Standings

As of this morning, here are the real standings. Pay no attention to the false standings. That is the way of senseless teeth-gnashing. 

Q OFF.   GP GiH W L WSO OTL PTS W% PRJ W%* PRJ* GB PS +/- PB to95
1 1 VAN 40 1.0 26 8 1 5 59 0.738 121 0.675 111 0 15 21 16-22-4
2 2 DET 41 0.0 25 10 1 5 57 0.695 114 0.634 104 -2 11 25 17-20-4
3 3 DAL 42 -1.0 20 13 4 5 53 0.631 103 0.571 94 -5 5 31 19-17-4
4 4 NAS 40 1.0 17 13 4 6 48 0.600 98 0.525 86 -5.5 4 32 22-16-4
5 9 STL 39 2.0 17 13 3 6 46 0.590 97 0.513 84 -5.5 4 32 23-16-4
6 10 PHX 40 1.0 17 13 2 8 46 0.575 94 0.475 78 -6.5 2 34 23-15-4
7 7 SJS 41 0.0 19 15 2 5 47 0.573 94 0.512 84 -7 1 35 22-15-4
8 5 COL 42 -1.0 18 15 3 6 48 0.571 94 0.500 82 -7.5 0 36 22-14-4
9 12 MIN 40 1.0 20 15 0 5 45 0.563 92 0.500 82 -7 1 35 23-15-4
10 11 LAK 40 1.0 18 17 4 1 45 0.563 92 0.550 90 -7 1 35 23-15-4
11 8 CHI 43 -2.0 19 18 3 3 47 0.547 90 0.512 84 -9 -3 39 22-13-4
12 6 ANA 44 -3.0 20 18 2 4 48 0.545 89 0.500 82 -9.5 -4 40 22-12-4
13 13 CBJ 41 0.0 17 18 3 3 43 0.524 86 0.488 80 -9 -3 39 24-13-4
14 14 CGY 42 -1.0 14 20 4 4 40 0.476 78 0.429 70 -11.5 -8 44 26-10-4
15 15 EDM 40 1.0 12 20 1 7 33 0.413 68 0.325 53 -13 -11 47 29-9-4

  • Sorted by winning percentage (W%).
  • Only regulation wins and OT wins are counted as wins (W).
  • Shoot-out wins (WSO) are tallied separately. Why? Because they don't count in the "total wins" tie-breaker, so we need to keep them out of the W column.
  • "OTL" = loss in OT or shoot-out (i.e. Bettman point). 
  • "OFF." = the official standings, as rendered by ESPN. 
  • "Q" = Quisp standings. 
  • "GiH" = games in hand, relative to the average for the conference. 
  • "PRJ" = projected final point total.
  • "W%*" and "PRJ*" (note the asterisks) show the team's win percentage an projected point total if you eliminate the "Bettman Point" and treat a loss as a loss.
  • "GB" = games back, i.e. baseball standings. 
  • "PB" = points blown. Points-blown refers to the number of potential points a team has failed to earn. Lower number is better, like golf. I find it's a useful way to correct for disparities in games-played. Think of points-blown as a kind of "hidden reason for optimism (or pessimism)" quantifier. 
  • "PS +/-" = points blown, relative to the 8th seed. In other words, how far above or below the post-season ("P.S.") cut-off a team is.
  • In the first two columns (Q rank and ESPN rank), green means 1-4 seed, yellow is 5-8, orange is 9-12, red is 13-15. 
  • For the columns starting with "team name" and ending with "PRJ", Green indicates a projected finish 100 points or above (certain to qualify for playoffs). Yellow is 94-99 projected points (probable for playoffs), orange is 86-93 (projected to fall short), red is below 85 (falling short of falling short). 
  • For the No Bettman Point columns (with asterisks), the thresholds have been shifted downward slightly, to reflect the fact that teams across the board earn between 2-14 fewer points.
  • For the last four columns, the colors translate to great, good, bad and screwed. 
  • "to 95" -- the record each team needs to get to the presumed playoff threshold of 95 points. 
  • Some observations: 

    • Five points separate 4th seed from 13th. The Kings are literally smack (dab) in the middle (2 points from the bottom, 3 from the top, with a game in hand). 
    • They've lost five in a row. That's not good. But look at the neighbors. Nobody can lose 5 in a row and expect not to be in danger. 
    • In other words, the Kings may have been sucking of late, but just before that, they rocked. So, you know, take the average.