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Thursday: The Real Standings

Q NHL   PTS W% PRJ PB +/- TO 95 GR W! R:W L OT:W L SO:W L
1 1 VAN 95 0.6985 114.6 41 16 n/a 14 40 37 16 3 4 3 5
2 2 DET 86 0.6418 105.3 48 9 3-9-3 15 35 28 20 7 5 4 3
3 3 SJS 84 0.6269 102.8 50 7 4-8-3 15 34 29 22 5 4 5 2
4 6 DAL 80 0.5970 97.9 54 3 6-6-3 15 31 26 23 5 3 5 5
5 4 CHI 81 0.5956 97.7 55 2 6-6-2 14 32 30 24 2 2 5 5
6 7 LAK 79 0.5896 96.7 55 2 7-6-2 15 30 29 25 1 3 7 2
7 5 CGY 81 0.5870 96.3 57 0 6-5-2 13 29 27 24 2 3 7 6
8 8 PHX 79 0.5809 95.3 57 0 7-5-2 14 30 28 23 2 7 4 4
9 9 MIN 77 0.5746 94.2 57 0 8-5-2 15 33 28 25 5 2 2 5
10 10 ANA 77 0.5746 94.2 57 0 8-5-2 15 32 26 26 6 3 4 2
11 11 NAS 76 0.5672 93.0 58 -1 8-4-3 15 27 27 24 0 6 6 4
12 12 CBJ 71 0.5379 88.2 61 -4 11-3-2 16 27 23 26 4 4 4 5
13 13 STL 69 0.5149 84.4 65 -8 12-1-2 15 26 23 28 3 4 4 5
14 14 COL 60 0.4545 74.5 72 -15 n/a 16 23 18 32 5 7 3 1
15 15 EDM 54 0.3971 65.1 82 -25 n/a 14 21 19 37 2 1 2 7

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 95 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). R, OT and SO are regulation, over-time and shoot-out,  and W and L after each indicates wins and losses for each of those three categories (e.g. R:W is regulation wins, OT:W is over-time wins, etc.). 

Some observations:

  • Four points-blown separate 4th from 11th.
  • Two points-blown separate 5th from 10th.
  • W% and PB are in total agreement.
  • W%/PB and official points all have the same teams in the top 8. 
  • The Kings pulled even with PHX in tie-breaker wins. They're still one behind DAL and two behind CHI and ANA. 
  • We're now looking at, essentially, 8 teams fighting for 5 spots. DAL, CHI, LAK, CGY and PHX currently have an edge over MIN, ANA and NAS. But that can change in a heartbeat.