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Wednesday: The Good, The Bad, The Real Standings

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Last night's results

The Good

The Bad: PHX won, NAS won. 

Tonight's Games

ANA @ DAL -- The chances of these teams being tied for the last playoff spot at the end of the season are pretty good. So this would be a good time for whomever to step up. Go Stars. In regulation. 

CGY @ SJS -- Go...Sharks? In regulation.

FLA @ CHI -- Go Panthers. 

Now, the updated standings:

Q NHL   PTS W% PRJ LSF PB +/- TO 97 GR W! SS SSGR GD
1 1 VAN 103 0.7055 115.7 103 43 16 n/a 9 43 1 1 66
2 2 DET 95 0.6507 106.7 102 51 8 1-8-0 9 39 3 LAK 28
3 3 SJS 92 0.6301 103.3 113 54 5 2-6-1 9 37 -1 2 20
4 5 LAK 88 0.6027 98.8 101 58 1 4-4-1 9 33 n/a n/a 22
5 7 CHI 86 0.5972 97.9 112 58 1 5-4-1 10 34 -8 CHI 32
6 4 PHX 91 0.6067 99.5 107 59 0 3-4-0 7 36 -2 1 7
7 8 ANA 85 0.5903 96.8 89 59 0 6-4-0 10 36 1 2 -4
8 9 DAL 85 0.5903 96.8 88 59 0 6-4-0 10 33 3 LAK 1
9 6 NAS 88 0.5946 97.5 100 60 -1 4-3-1 8 33 4 LAK 20
10 10 CGY 85 0.5667 92.9 90 65 -6 6-1-0 7 30 2 LAK 11
11 12 CBJ 77 0.5274 86.5 79 69 -10 n/a 9 29 3 LAK -24
12 11 MIN 78 0.5270 86.4 84 70 -11 n/a 8 33 1 LAK -22
13 13 STL 73 0.5000 82.0 90 73 -14 n/a 9 28 -8 STL -14
14 14 COL 64 0.4444 72.9 95 80 -21 n/a 10 23 6 LAK -51
15 15 EDM 56 0.3836 62.9 62 90 -31 n/a 9 21 5 LAK -64

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season's final point total. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 96 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team  name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal--differential. 

Observations:

  • Oh, before I start: yes, out of an overabundance of caution, I upped the playoff threshold to 97. Although I'm still comfortable at 96, I don't want to infect anyone with my rosy outlook. 
  • The Kings are 4 points-blown (and 4 official points) out of 1st in the Pacific.
  • The Kings are one point-blown out of 9th place.
  • The Kings are 3 official points out of 9th.
  • The Kings have not gained any ground on Chicago in goal-differential, and have lost ground to San Jose and Nashville. Actually, forget about the CHI goal-differential thing; the Kings lost the season series against the Hawks, so would never get to the GD tie-breaker. 
  • A win against the Sharks tomorrow would give the Kings the lead in the season series, with one game left. 
  • CHI has 34 wins and LA, PHX and DAL have 33. Since the Kings stand a reasonable chance of ending up tied with one of these teams, it would be a good idea to win the first tie-breaker. 
  • As I said yesterday, I think the chances of a team missing the playoffs on a tie-breaker are pretty good. 
  • Not only does every point count, but every goal counts. 
  • The teams in the logjam need to be playing a 5-0 game the same way they would be playing a 1-1 game. Never take it easy. Never pass up a chance to drive up the score. The 9th goal in a 9-3 game might be the difference between making the playoffs and not.