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The Good, The Bad, The Logjam, The Real Standings

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Last night's results

The Good: DAL half-lost, CGY lost.

The Bad: ANA won, CHI won, SJS won.

Tonight's Games

SJS @ LAK -- Go Kings. 

ANA @ NAS -- In truth, I'm fine with either one winning, as long as it's in regulation. I will be a little extra happy if the Ducks lose. 

CBJ @ PHX -- Go Jackets. 

Now, the updated standings:

Q NHL   PTS W% PRJ LSF PB +/- TO 97 GR W! SS SSGR GD
1 1 VAN 105 0.7095 116.4 103 43 17 n/a 8 44 1 1 67
2 2 DET 95 0.6419 105.3 102 53 7 1-7-0 8 39 3 LAK 27
3 3 SJS 94 0.6351 104.2 113 54 6 1-6-1 8 38 -1 2 23
4 5 CHI 88 0.6027 98.8 112 58 2 4-4-1 9 35 -8 CHI 36
5 6 LAK 88 0.6027 98.8 101 58 2 4-4-1 9 33 n/a n/a 22
6 4 PHX 91 0.6067 99.5 107 59 1 3-4-0 7 36 -2 1 7
7 8 ANA 87 0.5959 97.7 89 59 1 5-4-0 9 37 1 2 -3
8 7 NAS 88 0.5946 97.5 100 60 0 4-3-1 8 33 4 LAK 20
9 9 DAL 86 0.5890 96.6 88 60 0 5-3-1 9 33 3 LAK 0
10 10 CGY 85 0.5592 91.7 90 67 -7 6-0-0 6 30 2 LAK 8
11 12 CBJ 77 0.5274 86.5 79 69 -9 n/a 9 29 3 LAK -24
12 11 MIN 78 0.5270 86.4 84 70 -10 n/a 8 33 1 LAK -22
13 13 STL 73 0.5000 82.0 90 73 -13 n/a 9 28 -8 STL -14
14 14 COL 64 0.4444 72.9 95 80 -20 n/a 10 23 6 LAK -51
15 15 EDM 56 0.3836 62.9 62 90 -30 n/a 9 21 5 LAK -64

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season's final point total. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 96 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team  name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal--differential. 

Observations:

  • Six teams battling for five spots, all separated by a total of 2 points-blown. 
  • The Kings have a game in hand on the Sharks. A win tonight would put the Kings in the lead by a point in the season series, with one game remaining. 
  • In terms of tie-breaker wins, the Ducks are four ahead of the Kings, the Coyotes are three ahead, and the Hawks are two ahead. Closing this gap would be useful. 
  • A SIX-WAY TIE FOR 4TH IS NOT THAT CRAZY A PROSPECT. In any case, I fully expect at least two smaller sets of ties. 
  • Incidentally, were a six-way tie actually to occur, ANA, PHX and CHI would (as it stands now -- obviously these numbers will change) take 4, 5 and 6, with LAK, DAL and NAS proceeding to the head-to-head-to-head tiebreaker. The Kings won season series against both teams by a margin of 7 points, total. So LAK would be 7th seed and I'm too lazy to see which one of DAL and NAS would prevail for the 8th spot.