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The Good, The Bad, The Penner, The Real Standings

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LOS ANGELES, CA - MARCH 03:  "Hey, Greener, seriously, no, seriously, Greener, what's with the plaster castle thing?" (Photo by Victor Decolongon/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA - MARCH 03: "Hey, Greener, seriously, no, seriously, Greener, what's with the plaster castle thing?" (Photo by Victor Decolongon/Getty Images)
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Last night's results

The Good: KINGS WON, PHX lost, CBJ lost, STL lost.

The Bad: MIN won, NAS won, SJS won.

Tonight's Kings-centric meaningful games

CAR @ CHI - Go Canes.

CBJ @ CGY - Go Regulation, Go Jackets.

DAL @ ANA - Go Regulation. 

Now, the updated standings:

Q NHL   PTS W% PRJ PB +/- TO 95 GR W! R:W L OT:W L SO:W L
1 1 VAN 89 0.6846 112.3 41 14 2-13-2 17 37 35 16 2 4 3 5
2 2 DET 84 0.6563 107.6 44 11 4-11-3 18 35 28 19 7 4 4 2
3 3 SJS 82 0.6308 103.4 48 7 5-9-3 17 33 29 21 4 4 5 2
4 4 CHI 76 0.5938 97.4 52 3 8-7-3 18 30 28 23 2 2 5 4
5 5 LAK 76 0.5938 97.4 52 3 8-7-3 18 29 28 24 1 2 7 2
6 9 DAL 74 0.5873 96.3 52 3 9-7-3 19 29 25 23 4 2 5 4
7 7 NAS 75 0.5769 94.6 55 0 9-6-2 17 27 27 23 0 5 6 4
8 11 ANA 71 0.5635 92.4 55 0 11-6-2 19 29 26 25 3 3 4 2
9 6 PHX 76 0.5758 94.4 56 -1 8-5-3 16 30 28 23 2 6 3 4
10 10 MIN 74 0.5692 93.4 56 -1 9-5-3 17 32 27 25 5 1 2 5
11 8 CGY 75 0.5682 93.2 57 -2 9-5-2 16 27 25 24 2 3 6 6
12 12 CBJ 69 0.5476 89.8 57 -2 12-5-2 19 27 23 25 4 3 4 4
13 13 STL 65 0.5078 83.3 63 -8 14-2-2 18 25 23 27 2 4 3 5
14 14 COL 60 0.4688 76.9 68 -13 n/a 18 23 18 30 5 7 3 1
15 15 EDM 52 0.4000 65.6 78 -23 n/a 17 20 18 35 2 1 2 7

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM. PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 95 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). R, OT and SO are regulation, over-time and shoot-out,  and W and L after each indicates wins and losses for each of those three categories (e.g. R:W is regulation wins, OT:W is over-time wins, etc.). 

Some observations:

 

  • Five points-blown separate 4th from 12th. 
  • PHX and CGY continue to look better in the official standings than they really are.
  • DAL and ANA look worse in the official standings than they really are. 
  • I made a new chart. 
  PTS W! SS GD GR:LA
SJS 82 33 -1 19 2
CHI 76 30 -8 31 0
PHX 76 30 -2 -4 1
LAK 76 29 n/a 23 n/a
NAS 75 27 2 12 1
CGY 75 27 1 12 1
MIN 74 32 1 -2 0
DAL 74 29 1 -3 3
ANA 71 29 2 -9 3
CBJ 69 27 1 -14 1

 

This chart:

 

  • shows the tie-breakers, or tries to. 
  • W!, same as in the first chart, shows "wins plus OT wins", the first tie-breaker. 
  • The Kings must pick up ground against PHX and CHI, since the odds of a tie in the final standings is, um, high.
  • SS is season-series. The number reflects the relative number of points the Kings have earned against that team. In this column, the Kings get 2 for a regulation win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, and -2 for a regulation loss. 
  • The Kings have already lost the season series with CHI, and won the season series with MIN. The others are still up for grabs.
  • SS is the second tie-breaker...
  • ...assuming that only two teams are tied for that spot. If it's more than two, then it's head-to-head-to-head records, and that's too complicated for me to chart at this time when I pretend to actually have a life. 
  • GR:LA is the games remaining in the season series with that team.
  • GD is goal differential, the third tie-breaker. 
  • Chart is sortable, unless it's broken.