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Reign #FancyStats Recap: Ontario Rolls On

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What stat does Nic Dowd want kept? I start tracking it here. Plus thoughts on Mersch, Brodzinski, Backman, Ebert, Zykov, and Kempe.

Sheng Peng

Here are statistics for the last couple weekends of Ontario Reign games, including a stat which center Nic Dowd told me he'd love to have recorded, faceoffs.

All scoring chance, puck possession, and faceoff counts are estimated; I started tracking draws from the second San Antonio game on.

This Wednesday, Ontario battles San Jose, before busing up to Bakersfield for a Saturday tilt.

10/30/15

The Reign hosted the San Antonio Rampage in the opener of a home back-to-back, suffering their first loss, albeit in overtime, on a Ben Street dagger:

[Recap]

Mersch

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 OT TOTAL
SA 4 2 3 2 11
ONT 4 6 4 1 15

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 OT TOTAL
SA 13 10 13 7 43
ONT 20 19 17 6 62

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
3 D. Forbort 24 15 61.5%
4 K. Gravel 17 17 50.0%
5 V. LoVerde 24 11 68.6%
7 V. Zykov 26 5 83.9%
9 A. Kempe 11 13 45.8%
12 J. Brodzinski 10 8 55.6%
16 S. Backman 10 12 45.5%
17 K. Miller 9 0 100.0%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 9 10 47.4%
20 K. MacDermid 18 11 62.1%
21 A. Crescenzi 11 14 44.0%
23 N. Ebert 18 10 64.3%
24 R. Horvat 13 2 86.7%
25 S. Sabourin 11 10 52.4%
26 N. Dowd 30 20 60.0%
27 M. Mersch 32 16 66.7%
39 J. Auger 7 12 36.8%
55 J. Schultz 18 15 54.5%

Lines

Ontario Reign

39 Auger- 9 Kempe - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

17 Miller - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 21 Crescenzi - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

3 Forbort - 4 Gravel

31 Budaj

32 Emery

San Antonio Rampage

96 Rantanen - 10 Street - 37 Smith

11 Bourke - 38 Hishon - 71 Rendulic

24 Schumacher - 25 Cliche - 48 Petryk

58 Bordeleau - 42 Henley - 27 Martinsen

3 Bigras - 43 Clark

15 Siemens - 26 Noreau

4 Geertsen - 22 Redmond

31 Pickard

35 Will

10/31/15

On Halloween, Street came back to chase Ontario off the ice with another OT killer:

[Recap]

  • San Antonio's Andrew Agozzino missed the last game, but the 30-goal scorer more than made up for his absence, as he registered five of the team's six scoring chances and assisted on Street's winner.
  • Some people might be disappointed in the production of supposed goal scorer Jonny Brodzinski, as he has just one assist in 10 games, but I'm not concerned yet. The rookie's not drawing a regular shift with the Reign's scorers, but yet, he's displayed noteworthy offensive talent in most games:
Brodzinski

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 OT TOTAL
SA 1 1 2 2 6
ONT 6 3 1 0 10

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 OT TOTAL
SA 11 10 11 7 39
ONT 23 17 13 2 55

Faceoffs

Number Name FOW FOL FO%
9 A. Kempe 1 1 50.0%
14 D. Arnold 1 4 20.0%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 0 1 0.0%
21 A. Crescenzi 6 6 50.0%
24 R. Horvat 9 1 90.0%
26 N. Dowd 21 6 77.8%
39 J. Auger 1 0 100.0%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
3 D. Forbort 29 10 74.4%
4 K. Gravel 22 20 52.4%
5 V. LoVerde 21 12 63.6%
7 V. Zykov 21 11 65.6%
9 A. Kempe 11 14 44.0%
12 J. Brodzinski 11 5 68.8%
14 D. Arnold 12 8 60.0%
16 S. Backman 12 9 57.1%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 12 8 60.0%
20 K. MacDermid 13 10 56.5%
21 A. Crescenzi 11 9 55.0%
24 R. Horvat 12 8 60.0%
25 S. Sabourin 10 8 55.6%
26 N. Dowd 20 14 58.8%
27 M. Mersch 21 12 63.6%
33 K. Raine 10 9 52.6%
39 J. Auger 9 4 69.2%
55 J. Schultz 13 10 56.5%

Lines

Ontario Reign

9 Kempe - 21 Crescenzi - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

39 Auger - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 14 Arnold - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

3 Forbort - 4 Gravel

55 Schultz - 33 Raine

32 Emery

31 Budaj

San Antonio Rampage

28 Agozzino - 10 Street - 96 Rantanen

71 Rendulic - 38 Hishon - 37 Smith

24 Schumacher - 25 Cliche - 48 Petryk

27 Martinsen - 42 Henley - 58 Bordeleau

3 Bigras - 43 Clark

15 Siemens - 26 Noreau

4 Geertsen - 22 Redmond

31 Pickard

35 Will

11/1/15

The Barracuda hunted down the Reign in the backend of a three-in-three, handing Ontario its first regulation loss of the season:

[Box Score]

  • Already sporting nine assists in 10 games, Sean Backman has truly been an unsung hero for an Ontario squad that looked like they would miss Jordan Weal and Brian O'Neill. He's a bit of a late bloomer at 29; as recently as a couple seasons ago, he wasn't even averaging half a point for Manchester. While his current point-a-game pace seems unlikely to continue, his production has certainly been trending upward, from 26 points in 2013-14 to 44 last year. Set-ups like this (featuring some commendable work from Valentin Zykov too!) have become the norm. RIP Sharks' first-round pick Mirco Mueller:

Backman Mersch Zykov

  • Nick Ebert owns a wealth of talent, but unforced errors like thishe was looking for Justin Augerkeep his night-to-night status in question:
Ebert

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 2 5 4 11
SJ 1 1 7 9

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 16 20 19 55
SJ 21 19 21 61

Faceoffs

Number Name FOW FOL FO%
9 A. Kempe 0 1 0.0%
14 D. Arnold 3 5 37.5%
16 S. Backman 1 0 100.0%
21 A. Crescenzi 10 9 52.6%
24 R. Horvat 4 6 40.0%
26 N. Dowd 8 11 42.1%
39 J. Auger 0 1 0.0%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
4 K. Gravel 20 16 55.6%
5 V. LoVerde 17 23 42.5%
7 V. Zykov 13 11 54.2%
9 A. Kempe 14 12 53.8%
12 J. Brodzinski 10 8 55.6%
14 D. Arnold 14 21 40.0%
16 S. Backman 16 16 50.0%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 18 18 50.0%
20 K. MacDermid 12 21 36.4%
21 A. Crescenzi 15 18 45.5%
23 N. Ebert 20 23 46.5%
24 R. Horvat 11 13 45.8%
25 S. Sabourin 14 21 40.0%
26 N. Dowd 16 11 59.3%
27 M. Mersch 11 14 44.0%
33 K. Raine 14 14 50.0%
39 J. Auger 10 14 41.7%
55 J. Schultz 27 25 51.9%

Lines

Ontario Reign

9 Kempe - 21 Crescenzi - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

39 Auger - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 14 Arnold - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

4 Gravel - 33 Raine

31 Budaj

32 Emery

San Jose Barracuda

82 Goldobin - 17 McCarthy - 55 Emanuelsson

38 Haley - 40 Carpenter - 86 Langlois

53 Jevpalovs - 77 Timmins - 67 Arseneau

23 McLaren - 73 Crane - 84 Parkes

3 Stollery - 63 Bergman

41 Mueller - 47 Ryan

70 Young - 51 McNally

30 Dell

1 Grosenick

11/5/15

Ontario clipped the high-flying San Diego Gulls at home, powered by an Adrian Kempe hat trick:

[Recap]

  • Zykov has surprised me with his straight-ahead speed. I was not impressed with it in juniors, but he's more than handled the AHL pace in his rookie campaign. It's not to say that he's a burner, but there's more to work with in this area than I had suspected. This is one of three breakways which he enjoyed this weekendgranted, in this clip, he's only outracing Shane O'Brien:

Zykov

  • While they returned Kempe to center, and he's professed his comfort with playing the position, when his line has been put on the ice in the defensive zone, he hasn't been taking draws.
  • I've noted in all of my #FancyStats recaps that my figures are estimated. I stress this because of the challenges of the AHL streamfor example, on this Backman attempted shot, did Dowd (bottom right) complete his change or is he still to be counted as on the ice?
  • Speaking of this low-quality stream, it cut out from 10:28 to 8:58 of the first period and 5:25 to 2:18 of the third. So the data for this game is not complete.

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 TOTAL
SD 1 5 0 6
ONT 9 6 2 17

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 TOTAL
SD 16 17 8 41
ONT 23 18 20 61

Faceoffs

Number Name FOW FOL FO%
9 A. Kempe 3 4 42.9%
21 A. Crescenzi 8 9 47.1%
24 R. Horvat 4 3 57.1%
26 N. Dowd 12 8 60.0%
27 M. Mersch 0 1 0.0%
39 J. Auger 2 0 100.0%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
4 K. Gravel 22 14 61.1%
5 V. LoVerde 20 20 50.0%
7 V. Zykov 21 8 72.4%
9 A. Kempe 16 9 64.0%
12 J. Brodzinski 6 5 54.5%
15 P. Bissonnette 6 7 46.2%
16 S. Backman 15 9 62.5%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 11 6 64.7%
20 K. MacDermid 16 17 48.5%
21 A. Crescenzi 9 12 42.9%
23 N. Ebert 19 7 73.1%
24 R. Horvat 16 17 48.5%
25 S. Sabourin 14 7 66.7%
26 N. Dowd 25 13 65.8%
27 M. Mersch 24 16 60.0%
33 K. Raine 22 14 61.1%
39 J. Auger 16 13 55.2%
55 J. Schultz 23 10 69.7%

Lines

Ontario Reign

39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

15 Bissonnette - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 21 Crescenzi - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

4 Gravel - 33 Raine

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

31 Budaj

32 Emery

San Diego Gulls

20 Ritchie - 18 Sgarbossa - 34 Jackman

28 Laganiere - 15 Mueller - 11 Noesen

19 Cramarossa - 17 Kerdiles - 16 McGrattan

29 Ryan - 22 Bailey - 23 Moore

24 Megna - 27 Theodore

7 Piskula - 26 Montour

5 O'Brien - 2 Bickel

36 Gibson

31 Hackett

11/7/15

In probably their worst performance of the young season, the Reign still managed to whitewash the Stockton Heat. While there were some score effects involved, as Ontario raced out to a 3-0 lead in the first, Coach Mike Stothers was displeased, "We were uncharacteristic with our turnovers, uncharacteristic with our shots against, uncharacteristic with the time we spent in our end and uncharacteristic of me to not be very happy with our players."

[Box Score]

  • Apparently, you can't trust an AHL stream or box score. This is the official box score for this game:

  • This is Jordan Samuels-Thomas's first goal. Notice Andrew Crescenzi right behind him. Now try to find Crescenzi in the "On Ice" section of the box score:

  • This is Jordan Samuels-Thomas's second goal. In "On Ice," they mixed up Jeff Schultz with Vincent LoVerde:

  • Fittingly, my stream also cut out for about seven minutes of the opening frame. So again, this data is incomplete. But Stockton had most of the play in the first period.

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 3 2 4 9
STK 3 5 4 12

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 11 7 14 32
STK 11 21 14 46

Faceoffs

Number Name FOW FOL FO%
9 A. Kempe 2 3 40.0%
21 A. Crescenzi 9 3 75.0%
24 R. Horvat 4 5 44.4%
26 N. Dowd 12 12 50.0%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
4 K. Gravel 15 17 46.9%
5 V. LoVerde 5 16 23.8%
7 V. Zykov 15 10 60.0%
9 A. Kempe 5 9 35.7%
12 J. Brodzinski 3 11 21.4%
15 P. Bissonnette 4 12 25.0%
16 S. Backman 4 14 22.2%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 10 11 47.6%
20 K. MacDermid 6 8 42.9%
21 A. Crescenzi 5 18 21.7%
23 N. Ebert 12 18 40.0%
24 R. Horvat 11 7 61.1%
25 S. Sabourin 7 9 43.8%
26 N. Dowd 12 12 50.0%
27 M. Mersch 14 10 58.3%
33 K. Raine 13 19 40.6%
39 J. Auger 4 15 21.1%
55 J. Schultz 11 14 44.0%

Lines

Ontario Reign

39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

15 Bissonnette - 21 Crescenzi  - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 24 Horvat - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

4 Gravel - 33 Raine

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

31 Budaj

32 Emery

Stockton Heat

48 Van Brabant - 11 Hamilton -  23 Shore

15 Agostino - 46 Arnold - 9 Hathaway

13 Elson - 26 Granlund - 21 Poirier

28 Orr - 32 Lomberg - 34 Smith

33 Nakladal - 6 Stevenson

5 Wotherspoon - 2 Kulak

45 Johnson - 7 Morrison

30 Simpson

39 Hartzell

Past Reign #FancyStats Recaps

Week 1: Ontario Opens on Top

Week 2: Mashing Manitoba

Week 3: Sweet Home Ontario