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Reign #FancyStats Recap: Ontario Hiccups, Mersch Keeps It Up

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Mersch keeps shooting, while Dowd dominates draws. Plus thoughts on Ebert and Brodzinski.

Sheng Peng

All scoring chance, Corsi, and faceoff counts are estimated.

This Friday, Ontario kicks off a swing through the Lone Star State with another tangle against the San Antonio Rampage, followed the next evening with their first-ever encounter with the Texas Stars.

11/11/15

The Reign sunk the Barracuda on Veterans Day, killing off a San Jose two-man advantage in the final minutes of a 2-1 nailbiter.

[Recap]

  • One point in nine games isn't a lot for a guy who I tabbed for a "Colin Miller-like breakout" this season. But solid two-way shifts like thisNick Ebert pushes the offense, but not too hard, and then recovers for perfect defensive positioningwill help his cause to stay in the lineup. That, and more power play time, should contribute to an uptick in production.
Ebert

  • It's reasonable to wonder if such manuevers will fly in the NHL, but here's more nimble work by Michael Mersch and a prime example of why he's leading the AHL in shots on goal.

Mersch

  • Nic Dowd took more than half the team's faceoffs against San Jose! Nifty pass here too:
Dowd

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 TOTAL
SJ 2 4 2 8
ONT 5 5 3 13

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 TOTAL
SJ 12 17 12 41
ONT 21 21 13 55

Faceoffs

Name FOW FOL FO%
A. Kempe 1 3 25.0%
A. Crescenzi 2 5 28.6%
R. Horvat 2 1 66.7%
N. Dowd 10 6 62.5%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
4 K. Gravel 16 15 51.6%
5 V. LoVerde 24 14 63.2%
7 V. Zykov 14 8 63.6%
8 Z. Leslie 11 6 64.7%
9 A. Kempe 10 12 45.5%
12 J. Brodzinski 12 8 60.0%
16 S. Backman 16 11 59.3%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 17 13 56.7%
20 K. MacDermid 20 11 64.5%
21 A. Crescenzi 20 16 55.6%
23 N. Ebert 12 15 44.4%
24 R. Horvat 15 7 68.2%
25 S. Sabourin 7 12 36.8%
26 N. Dowd 13 10 56.5%
27 M. Mersch 26 7 78.8%
33 K. Raine 14 5 73.7%
39 J. Auger 12 17 41.4%
55 J. Schultz 16 18 47.1%

Lines

Ontario Reign

39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

21 Crescenzi - 12 Brodzinski

18 Samuels-Thomas - 24 Horvat - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

4 Gravel - 33 Raine

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

8 Leslie

31 Budaj

32 Emery

San Jose Barracuda

11 Lerg - 40 Carpenter - 86 Langlois

89 Goodrow - 77 Timmins - 84 Parkes

53 Jevpalovs - 17 McCarthy - 55 Emanuelsson

67 Arseneau - Crane - Steffes

3 Stollery - 74 DeMelo

70 Young - 47 Ryan

45 Cundari - 63 Bergman

30 Dell

1 Grosenick

11/14/15

Ontario never really got going as they were shut out 3-0 by Laurent Brossoit and the Bakersfield Condors:

[Box Score]

  • This is an example of Ebert's ceiling. Unfortunately, Valentin Zykov tags the post.

Ebert

  • In the third period, Jonny Brodzinski was moved up to skate with Dowd and Mersch, and the trio put up a 10-1 Corsi. Brodzinski had been coming on. Earlier that night, he hit a post, and last Wednesday, he was a primary contributor in three scoring chances. This weekend, he gets a chance to start with Dowd and Mersch.
  • Joel Lowry's professional career got off on the wrong foot, as his line (centered by Ryan Horvat and flanked by Scott Sabourin) surrendered a pair of goals on consecutive first period shifts.

Even Strength Scoring Chances

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 3 4 2 9
BAK 4 6 3 13

Even Strength Corsi

1 2 3 TOTAL
ONT 18 11 22 51
BAK 11 17 9 37

Faceoffs

Name FOW FOL FO%
A. Kempe 3 6 33.3%
A. Crescenzi 10 8 55.6%
R. Horvat 5 3 62.5%
N. Dowd 13 7 65.0%

Individual Even Strength Corsi

Number Player CF CA CF%
4 K. Gravel 24 13 64.9%
5 V. LoVerde 21 15 58.3%
7 V. Zykov 19 5 79.2%
9 A. Kempe 5 7 41.7%
12 J. Brodzinski 16 7 69.6%
16 S. Backman 10 11 47.6%
18 J. Samuels-Thomas 10 9 52.6%
20 K. MacDermid 12 12 50.0%
21 A. Crescenzi 13 13 50.0%
23 N. Ebert 16 15 51.6%
24 R. Horvat 6 9 40.0%
25 S. Sabourin 3 10 23.1%
26 N. Dowd 30 8 78.9%
27 M. Mersch 27 8 77.1%
28 J. Lowry 4 7 36.4%
33 K. Raine 12 7 63.2%
39 J. Auger 8 11 42.1%
55 J. Schultz 17 12 58.6%

Lines

Ontario Reign

39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman

27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov

18 Samuels-Thomas - 21 Crescenzi - 12 Brodzinski

28 Lowry - 24 Horvat - 25 Sabourin

20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde

4 Gravel - 33 Raine

55 Schultz - 23 Ebert

32 Emery

35 Classen

Bakersfield Condors

12 Hamilton - 7 Khaira - 11 Ford

23 Christoffer - 39 Yakimov - 33 Slepyshev

22 Kessy - 14 Platzer - 21 Chase

19 Moroz - 10 Loiseau - 25 Roy

29 Hunt - 9 Pageau

13 LaLeggia - 6 Musil

3 Nikitin - 18 Simpson

31 Brossoit

30 Scrivens

Past Reign #FancyStats Recaps

Week 1: Ontario Opens on Top

Week 2: Mashing Manitoba

Week 3: Sweet Home Ontario

Week 4-5: Ontario Rolls On