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2020 Stanley Cup Final Preview: Schedule and stats

A sunbelt face-off will bring an end to the NHL’s longest season ever.

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Anthony Cirelli of the Tampa Bay Lightning celebrates after scoring the game-winning goal with teammates Victor Hedman and Tyler Johnson against the New York Islanders for the 2-1 win in the first overtime period of Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Final of the 2020 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Rogers Place on September 17, 2020 in Edmonton, Alberta. Photo by Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images

As strange as it might be, the 2020 postseason is finally wrapping up with meaningful hockey in September. After a season pause, a play-in round and plenty of chaos, there are just two teams left competing for Lord Stanley’s Cup. Both the Dallas Stars and the Tampa Bay Lightning are looking for their franchise’s second-ever championship title.

Looking at the numbers, Tampa Bay seems to have had a competitive edge throughout the postseason so far, regularly out-performing their opponents by most offensive metrics. But Dallas got hot at the right time, and goaltender Anton Khudobin has been a force in net and could easily become the biggest challenge the Bolts have faced yet.

Here’s how the teams stack up head-to-head, plus everything you need to know to tune in:

Stats

All stats courtesy of Natural Stat Trick and have been measured since the beginning of playoffs, at all strengths, and are expressed here as rates per 60 minutes of play.

Corsi For/60
Stars: 54.59 | Lightning: 61.73

Fenwick For/60
Stars: 39.39 | Lightning: 42.62

Shots For/60
Stars: 29.67 | Lightning: 30.35

Goals For/60
Stars: 2.98 | Lightning: 2.73

xGoals For/60
Stars: 2.61 | Lightning: 2.63

Goals Against/60
Stars: 3.08 | Lightning: 1.92

xGoals Against/60
Stars: 3.01 | Lightning: 2.3

Scoring Chances For/60
Stars: 26.44 | Lightning: 27.08

High Danger Chances For/60
Stars: 11.63 | Lightning: 11.15

High Danger Chances For %
Stars: 48.47 | Lightning: 55.46

Save Percentage
Stars: 90.64 | Lightning: 92.67

High Danger Save Percentage
Stars: 84.90 | Lightning: 79.86

In their words

From SB Nation’s Defending Big D:

Overall, this series is going to come down to a few important points for the Dallas Stars — things they’ve already done and things they must start to do in order to win their second championship.

1. Anton Khudobin needs to give the Stars a solid performance and steal a game or two.

2. The Stars must out-check the Lightning for the majority of the series.

3. The “Big Three” need to keep showing up, plus Tyler Seguin.

From SB Nation’s Raw Charge:

The Dallas Stars win if:

Anton Khudobin continues to play like a number one goaltender.

— Their power play provides offense

— They are able to get goals from more than one line

The Tampa Bay Lightning win if:

Brayden Point stays healthy

— The second line finds its scoring touch.

Schedule

All games will be held at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, who also hosted both of the conference finals.

Game 1: Saturday, Sept. 19, 4:30 p.m. PT/7:30 p.m. ET
Game 2: Monday, Sept. 21, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET
Game 3: Wednesday, Sept. 23, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET
Game 4: Friday, Sept. 25, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET
Game 5: Saturday, Sept. 26, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET
Game 6: Monday, Sept. 28, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET
Game 7: Wednesday, Sept. 30, 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET

Tonight’s Game 1 will be broadcast on NBC, CBC, SN, TVAS, and FuboTV.