Reign #FancyStats Recap: Ontario Rolls On
What stat does Nic Dowd want kept? I start tracking it here. Plus thoughts on Mersch, Brodzinski, Backman, Ebert, Zykov, and Kempe.
Here are statistics for the last couple weekends of Ontario Reign games, including a stat which center Nic Dowd told me he'd love to have recorded, faceoffs.
All scoring chance, puck possession, and faceoff counts are estimated; I started tracking draws from the second San Antonio game on.
This Wednesday, Ontario battles San Jose, before busing up to Bakersfield for a Saturday tilt.
10/30/15
The Reign hosted the San Antonio Rampage in the opener of a home back-to-back, suffering their first loss, albeit in overtime, on a Ben Street dagger:
[Recap]
- You're probably tired of me fawning over Michael Mersch's 200-foot game, but it's what makes me certain that the winger is ready to play for the defense-first Kings. He is relentless on the puck in every zone:
Even Strength Scoring Chances
| 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | TOTAL | |
| SA | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| ONT | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
Even Strength Corsi
| 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | TOTAL | |
| SA | 13 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 43 |
| ONT | 20 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 62 |
Individual Even Strength Corsi
| Number | Player | CF | CA | CF% |
| 3 | D. Forbort | 24 | 15 | 61.5% |
| 4 | K. Gravel | 17 | 17 | 50.0% |
| 5 | V. LoVerde | 24 | 11 | 68.6% |
| 7 | V. Zykov | 26 | 5 | 83.9% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 11 | 13 | 45.8% |
| 12 | J. Brodzinski | 10 | 8 | 55.6% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 10 | 12 | 45.5% |
| 17 | K. Miller | 9 | 0 | 100.0% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 9 | 10 | 47.4% |
| 20 | K. MacDermid | 18 | 11 | 62.1% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 11 | 14 | 44.0% |
| 23 | N. Ebert | 18 | 10 | 64.3% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 13 | 2 | 86.7% |
| 25 | S. Sabourin | 11 | 10 | 52.4% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 30 | 20 | 60.0% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 32 | 16 | 66.7% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 7 | 12 | 36.8% |
| 55 | J. Schultz | 18 | 15 | 54.5% |
Lines
Ontario Reign
39 Auger- 9 Kempe - 16 Backman
27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov
17 Miller - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski
18 Samuels-Thomas - 21 Crescenzi - 25 Sabourin
20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde
55 Schultz - 23 Ebert
3 Forbort - 4 Gravel
31 Budaj
32 Emery
San Antonio Rampage
96 Rantanen - 10 Street - 37 Smith
11 Bourke - 38 Hishon - 71 Rendulic
24 Schumacher - 25 Cliche - 48 Petryk
58 Bordeleau - 42 Henley - 27 Martinsen
3 Bigras - 43 Clark
15 Siemens - 26 Noreau
4 Geertsen - 22 Redmond
31 Pickard
35 Will
10/31/15
On Halloween, Street came back to chase Ontario off the ice with another OT killer:
[Recap]
- San Antonio's Andrew Agozzino missed the last game, but the 30-goal scorer more than made up for his absence, as he registered five of the team's six scoring chances and assisted on Street's winner.
- Some people might be disappointed in the production of supposed goal scorer Jonny Brodzinski, as he has just one assist in 10 games, but I'm not concerned yet. The rookie's not drawing a regular shift with the Reign's scorers, but yet, he's displayed noteworthy offensive talent in most games:
Even Strength Scoring Chances
| 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | TOTAL | |
| SA | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| ONT | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
Even Strength Corsi
| 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | TOTAL | |
| SA | 11 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 39 |
| ONT | 23 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 55 |
Faceoffs
| Number | Name | FOW | FOL | FO% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 1 | 1 | 50.0% |
| 14 | D. Arnold | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 6 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 9 | 1 | 90.0% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 21 | 6 | 77.8% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 1 | 0 | 100.0% |
Individual Even Strength Corsi
| Number | Player | CF | CA | CF% |
| 3 | D. Forbort | 29 | 10 | 74.4% |
| 4 | K. Gravel | 22 | 20 | 52.4% |
| 5 | V. LoVerde | 21 | 12 | 63.6% |
| 7 | V. Zykov | 21 | 11 | 65.6% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 11 | 14 | 44.0% |
| 12 | J. Brodzinski | 11 | 5 | 68.8% |
| 14 | D. Arnold | 12 | 8 | 60.0% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 12 | 9 | 57.1% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 12 | 8 | 60.0% |
| 20 | K. MacDermid | 13 | 10 | 56.5% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 11 | 9 | 55.0% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 12 | 8 | 60.0% |
| 25 | S. Sabourin | 10 | 8 | 55.6% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 20 | 14 | 58.8% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 21 | 12 | 63.6% |
| 33 | K. Raine | 10 | 9 | 52.6% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 9 | 4 | 69.2% |
| 55 | J. Schultz | 13 | 10 | 56.5% |
Lines
Ontario Reign
9 Kempe - 21 Crescenzi - 16 Backman
27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov
39 Auger - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski
18 Samuels-Thomas - 14 Arnold - 25 Sabourin
20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde
3 Forbort - 4 Gravel
55 Schultz - 33 Raine
32 Emery
31 Budaj
San Antonio Rampage
28 Agozzino - 10 Street - 96 Rantanen
71 Rendulic - 38 Hishon - 37 Smith
24 Schumacher - 25 Cliche - 48 Petryk
27 Martinsen - 42 Henley - 58 Bordeleau
3 Bigras - 43 Clark
15 Siemens - 26 Noreau
4 Geertsen - 22 Redmond
31 Pickard
35 Will
11/1/15
The Barracuda hunted down the Reign in the backend of a three-in-three, handing Ontario its first regulation loss of the season:
- Already sporting nine assists in 10 games, Sean Backman has truly been an unsung hero for an Ontario squad that looked like they would miss Jordan Weal and Brian O'Neill. He's a bit of a late bloomer at 29; as recently as a couple seasons ago, he wasn't even averaging half a point for Manchester. While his current point-a-game pace seems unlikely to continue, his production has certainly been trending upward, from 26 points in 2013-14 to 44 last year. Set-ups like this (featuring some commendable work from Valentin Zykov too!) have become the norm. RIP Sharks' first-round pick Mirco Mueller:
- Nick Ebert owns a wealth of talent, but unforced errors like this—he was looking for Justin Auger—keep his night-to-night status in question:
Even Strength Scoring Chances
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| ONT | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| SJ | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
Even Strength Corsi
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| ONT | 16 | 20 | 19 | 55 |
| SJ | 21 | 19 | 21 | 61 |
Faceoffs
| Number | Name | FOW | FOL | FO% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 14 | D. Arnold | 3 | 5 | 37.5% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 1 | 0 | 100.0% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 10 | 9 | 52.6% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 4 | 6 | 40.0% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 8 | 11 | 42.1% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Individual Even Strength Corsi
| Number | Player | CF | CA | CF% |
| 4 | K. Gravel | 20 | 16 | 55.6% |
| 5 | V. LoVerde | 17 | 23 | 42.5% |
| 7 | V. Zykov | 13 | 11 | 54.2% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 14 | 12 | 53.8% |
| 12 | J. Brodzinski | 10 | 8 | 55.6% |
| 14 | D. Arnold | 14 | 21 | 40.0% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 16 | 16 | 50.0% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 18 | 18 | 50.0% |
| 20 | K. MacDermid | 12 | 21 | 36.4% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 15 | 18 | 45.5% |
| 23 | N. Ebert | 20 | 23 | 46.5% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 11 | 13 | 45.8% |
| 25 | S. Sabourin | 14 | 21 | 40.0% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 16 | 11 | 59.3% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 11 | 14 | 44.0% |
| 33 | K. Raine | 14 | 14 | 50.0% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 10 | 14 | 41.7% |
| 55 | J. Schultz | 27 | 25 | 51.9% |
Lines
Ontario Reign
9 Kempe - 21 Crescenzi - 16 Backman
27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov
39 Auger - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski
18 Samuels-Thomas - 14 Arnold - 25 Sabourin
20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde
55 Schultz - 23 Ebert
4 Gravel - 33 Raine
31 Budaj
32 Emery
San Jose Barracuda
82 Goldobin - 17 McCarthy - 55 Emanuelsson
38 Haley - 40 Carpenter - 86 Langlois
53 Jevpalovs - 77 Timmins - 67 Arseneau
23 McLaren - 73 Crane - 84 Parkes
3 Stollery - 63 Bergman
41 Mueller - 47 Ryan
70 Young - 51 McNally
30 Dell
1 Grosenick
11/5/15
Ontario clipped the high-flying San Diego Gulls at home, powered by an Adrian Kempe hat trick:
[Recap]
- Zykov has surprised me with his straight-ahead speed. I was not impressed with it in juniors, but he's more than handled the AHL pace in his rookie campaign. It's not to say that he's a burner, but there's more to work with in this area than I had suspected. This is one of three breakways which he enjoyed this weekend—granted, in this clip, he's only outracing Shane O'Brien:
- While they returned Kempe to center, and he's professed his comfort with playing the position, when his line has been put on the ice in the defensive zone, he hasn't been taking draws.
- I've noted in all of my #FancyStats recaps that my figures are estimated. I stress this because of the challenges of the AHL stream—for example, on this Backman attempted shot, did Dowd (bottom right) complete his change or is he still to be counted as on the ice?
- Speaking of this low-quality stream, it cut out from 10:28 to 8:58 of the first period and 5:25 to 2:18 of the third. So the data for this game is not complete./
Even Strength Scoring Chances
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| SD | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| ONT | 9 | 6 | 2 | 17 |
Even Strength Corsi
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| SD | 16 | 17 | 8 | 41 |
| ONT | 23 | 18 | 20 | 61 |
Faceoffs
| Number | Name | FOW | FOL | FO% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 3 | 4 | 42.9% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 8 | 9 | 47.1% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 4 | 3 | 57.1% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 12 | 8 | 60.0% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 2 | 0 | 100.0% |
Individual Even Strength Corsi
| Number | Player | CF | CA | CF% |
| 4 | K. Gravel | 22 | 14 | 61.1% |
| 5 | V. LoVerde | 20 | 20 | 50.0% |
| 7 | V. Zykov | 21 | 8 | 72.4% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 16 | 9 | 64.0% |
| 12 | J. Brodzinski | 6 | 5 | 54.5% |
| 15 | P. Bissonnette | 6 | 7 | 46.2% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 15 | 9 | 62.5% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 11 | 6 | 64.7% |
| 20 | K. MacDermid | 16 | 17 | 48.5% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 9 | 12 | 42.9% |
| 23 | N. Ebert | 19 | 7 | 73.1% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 16 | 17 | 48.5% |
| 25 | S. Sabourin | 14 | 7 | 66.7% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 25 | 13 | 65.8% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 24 | 16 | 60.0% |
| 33 | K. Raine | 22 | 14 | 61.1% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 16 | 13 | 55.2% |
| 55 | J. Schultz | 23 | 10 | 69.7% |
Lines
Ontario Reign
39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman
27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov
15 Bissonnette - 24 Horvat - 12 Brodzinski
18 Samuels-Thomas - 21 Crescenzi - 25 Sabourin
20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde
4 Gravel - 33 Raine
55 Schultz - 23 Ebert
31 Budaj
32 Emery
San Diego Gulls
20 Ritchie - 18 Sgarbossa - 34 Jackman
28 Laganiere - 15 Mueller - 11 Noesen
19 Cramarossa - 17 Kerdiles - 16 McGrattan
29 Ryan - 22 Bailey - 23 Moore
24 Megna - 27 Theodore
7 Piskula - 26 Montour
5 O'Brien - 2 Bickel
36 Gibson
31 Hackett
11/7/15
In probably their worst performance of the young season, the Reign still managed to whitewash the Stockton Heat. While there were some score effects involved, as Ontario raced out to a 3-0 lead in the first, Coach Mike Stothers was displeased, "We were uncharacteristic with our turnovers, uncharacteristic with our shots against, uncharacteristic with the time we spent in our end and uncharacteristic of me to not be very happy with our players."
- Apparently, you can't trust an AHL stream or box score. This is the official box score for this game:/
- This is Jordan Samuels-Thomas's first goal. Notice Andrew Crescenzi right behind him. Now try to find Crescenzi in the "On Ice" section of the box score:/
- This is Jordan Samuels-Thomas's second goal. In "On Ice," they mixed up Jeff Schultz with Vincent LoVerde:
- Fittingly, my stream also cut out for about seven minutes of the opening frame. So again, this data is incomplete. But Stockton had most of the play in the first period./
Even Strength Scoring Chances
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| ONT | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| STK | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
Even Strength Corsi
| 1 | 2 | 3 | TOTAL | |
| ONT | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 |
| STK | 11 | 21 | 14 | 46 |
Faceoffs
| Number | Name | FOW | FOL | FO% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 2 | 3 | 40.0% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 9 | 3 | 75.0% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 4 | 5 | 44.4% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 12 | 12 | 50.0% |
Individual Even Strength Corsi
| Number | Player | CF | CA | CF% |
| 4 | K. Gravel | 15 | 17 | 46.9% |
| 5 | V. LoVerde | 5 | 16 | 23.8% |
| 7 | V. Zykov | 15 | 10 | 60.0% |
| 9 | A. Kempe | 5 | 9 | 35.7% |
| 12 | J. Brodzinski | 3 | 11 | 21.4% |
| 15 | P. Bissonnette | 4 | 12 | 25.0% |
| 16 | S. Backman | 4 | 14 | 22.2% |
| 18 | J. Samuels-Thomas | 10 | 11 | 47.6% |
| 20 | K. MacDermid | 6 | 8 | 42.9% |
| 21 | A. Crescenzi | 5 | 18 | 21.7% |
| 23 | N. Ebert | 12 | 18 | 40.0% |
| 24 | R. Horvat | 11 | 7 | 61.1% |
| 25 | S. Sabourin | 7 | 9 | 43.8% |
| 26 | N. Dowd | 12 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 27 | M. Mersch | 14 | 10 | 58.3% |
| 33 | K. Raine | 13 | 19 | 40.6% |
| 39 | J. Auger | 4 | 15 | 21.1% |
| 55 | J. Schultz | 11 | 14 | 44.0% |
Lines
Ontario Reign
39 Auger - 9 Kempe - 16 Backman
27 Mersch - 26 Dowd - 7 Zykov
15 Bissonnette - 21 Crescenzi - 12 Brodzinski
18 Samuels-Thomas - 24 Horvat - 25 Sabourin
20 MacDermid - 5 Loverde
4 Gravel - 33 Raine
55 Schultz - 23 Ebert
31 Budaj
32 Emery
Stockton Heat
48 Van Brabant - 11 Hamilton - 23 Shore
15 Agostino - 46 Arnold - 9 Hathaway
13 Elson - 26 Granlund - 21 Poirier
28 Orr - 32 Lomberg - 34 Smith
33 Nakladal - 6 Stevenson
5 Wotherspoon - 2 Kulak
45 Johnson - 7 Morrison
30 Simpson
39 Hartzell
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