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The Real Standings (Ducks and Hawks lose in regulation edition)

Q NHL PTS W% PRJ MAX LSF PB +/- TO 97 GR W! SS SSGR GD Qcl
1 1 VAN 113 0.7152 117.3 119 103 45 20 n/a 3 48 -1 VAN 73 115
2 2 SJS 101 0.6474 106.2 109 113 55 10 n/a 4 41 0 1 33 100
3 3 DET 102 0.6456 105.9 108 102 56 9 n/a 3 42 3 LAK 24 100
4 4 LAK 96 0.6154 100.9 104 101 60 5 0-3-1 4 36 n/a n/a 28 95
5 5 PHX 96 0.6076 99.6 102 107 62 3 0-2-1 3 37 -2 1 7 95
6 6 NAS 95 0.6013 98.6 101 100 63 2 1-2-0 3 36 4 LAK 21 95
7 8 CHI 92 0.5897 96.7 100 112 64 1 2-1-1 4 36 -8 CHI 32 95
8 7 ANA 93 0.5886 96.5 99 89 65 0 2-1-0 3 40 1 2 -3 95
9 10 DAL 89 0.5705 93.6 97 88 67 -2 4-0-0 4 34 5 LAK -10 90
10 9 CGY 91 0.5688 93.3 95 90 69 -4 n/a 2 31 2 LAK 9 90
11 11 MIN 82 0.5190 85.1 88 84 76 -11 n/a 3 34 1 LAK -26 80
12 12 STL 82 0.5190 85.1 88 90 76 -11 n/a 3 32 -8 STL 3 80
13 13 CBJ 81 0.5127 84.1 87 79 77 -12 n/a 3 29 3 LAK -36 80
14 14 COL 66 0.4231 69.4 74 95 90 -25 n/a 4 23 8 LAK -57 65
15 15 EDM 59 0.3782 62.0 67 62 97 -32 n/a 4 22 7 LAK -70 60

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season’s final point total. MAX is maximum points possible for that team. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 97 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. GRb is games-remaining against the six “blue” teams. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal–differential. Qcl is clustered points, which corrects for variance in games-played and then rounds point totals to the nearest multiple of 5. The idea is to emphasize which teams are bunched together, or, to put it another way, are “more or less tied.” It may be useless or annoying. Feel free to ignore.

Observations:

  • The Kings haven’t had home-ice advantage in a playoff series in 19 years (1992), when they finished 4th in the Campbell Conference and lost in the first round to Edmonton.
  • They haven’t won a playoff series in which they had home-ice advantage since 1991, when they finished 3rd in the Campbell Conference, beat Vancouver in the 1st round, and then lost to Edmonton in the 2nd round.
  • They have won a game 7 at home twice, the last being 1989, Calgary Edmonton. The other was in 1969, against Oakland.
  • As everybody probably knows, a win tomorrow against San Jose clinches at least 8th.
  • The tie-breaker wins battle is probably going to decide some seeds. As of today, the Kings, Hawks and Preds are tied at 36, with the Coyotes one up, at 37.
  • If the Kings can win three out of four (no shoot-outs), they’ll end up at 39, which will likely be good enough to prevail against Chicago and Nashville in a tie-breaker, and probably Phoenix, too (unless the Kings lose their remaining game with Phoenix). /

Talking Points