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Belated Real Standings

Two big games and one not-as-big-as-it-could-have-been game tonight. CHI@CBJ, CGY@STL, COL@PHX. Go Avs and Jackets.

Q NHL PTS W% PRJ MAX LSF PB +/- TO 97 GR W! SS SSGR GD Qcl
1 1 VAN 113 0.7244 119 121 103 43 19 n/a 4 48 -1 VAN 76 110
2 3 SJS 99 0.6429 105 109 113 55 7 n/a 5 40 0 1 31 100
3 2 DET 98 0.6364 104 108 102 56 6 n/a 5 40 3 LAK 21 100
4 5 LAK 94 0.6104 100 104 101 60 2 1-3-1 5 35 n/a n/a 26 95
5 4 PHX 95 0.6090 100 103 107 61 1 1-3-0 4 37 -2 1 8 95
6 7 ANA 93 0.6039 99 103 89 61 1 2-3-0 5 40 1 2 0 95
7 6 NAS 94 0.6026 99 102 100 62 0 1-2-1 4 36 4 LAK 22 95
8 8 CHI 90 0.5921 97 102 112 62 0 3-2-1 6 36 -8 CHI 33 90
9 9 DAL 87 0.5724 94 99 88 65 -3 5-1-0 6 33 3 LAK -9 90
10 10 CGY 87 0.5577 91 95 90 69 -7 n/a 4 30 2 LAK 7 85
11 11 MIN 82 0.5325 87 92 84 72 -10 n/a 5 34 1 LAK -22 80
12 13 CBJ 81 0.5260 86 91 79 73 -11 n/a 5 30 3 LAK -30 80
13 12 STL 80 0.5195 85 90 90 74 -12 n/a 5 31 -8 STL -1 80
14 14 COL 64 0.4211 69 76 95 88 -26 n/a 6 23 8 LAK -57 65
15 15 EDM 57 0.3701 61 67 62 97 -35 n/a 5 21 7 LAK -73 55

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season’s final point total. MAX is maximum points possible for that team. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 97 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. GRb is games-remaining against the six “blue” teams. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal–differential. Qcl is clustered points, which corrects for variance in games-played and then rounds point totals to the nearest multiple of 5. The idea is to emphasize which teams are bunched together, or, to put it another way, are “more or less tied.” It may be useless or annoying. Feel free to ignore.

Observations:

  • 2 points-blown separate 4th from 8th.
  • The Kings and Ducks both have 5 games left.
  • The Hawks and Stars have 6.
  • Coyotes and Preds have 4.
  • That discrepancy in games-played is as big a deal as total points right now. It’s why the Stars are still alive.
  • A loss by CHI tonight and a win by LAK tomorrow would bring the Kings into a tie with the Hawks in tie-breaker wins.
  • The Kings need more wins than the Hawks, because they will lose the season-series tie-breaker.
  • I keep reading that the Kings and Canucks split the season series. This is false. Vancouver earned one more point than the Kings did. Thank you, Gary Bettman. /

Talking Points