Monday Logjam: Points Blown
Here's this week's games for the logjammed teams. Four of the seven will make the playoffs. Opponents in parentheses are outside the logjam.
| PTS | ROW | MON | TUES | WED | THUR | FRI | SAT | SUN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 88 | 35 | (CBJ) | (VAN) | (NAS) | ||||
| DAL | 83 | 33 | PHX | (VAN) | CGY | ||||
| PHX | 83 | 30 | DAL | COL | SJS | (STL) | |||
| COL | 83 | 30 | CGY | PHX | (VAN) | ||||
| LAK | 82 | 30 | SJS | (STL) | (BOS) | ||||
| SJS | 82 | 29 | (ANA) | LAK | (BOS) | PHX | |||
| CGY | 81 | 31 | COL | (MIN) | DAL |
And here are the points-blown standings:
| Q | NHL | W/L/OTL | PTS | W% | PRJ | to 93 | PB | 8th+/- | ROW | ROW+- | GD | GP | SS | SSGR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STL | 46-19-8 | 100 | 0.6849 | 112.3 | n/a | 46 | 16 | 42 | 12 | 47 | 73 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VAN | 43-20-8 | 94 | 0.6620 | 108.6 | n/a | 48 | 14 | 36 | 6 | 43 | 71 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | NAS | 42-22-8 | 92 | 0.6389 | 104.8 | 0-9-1 | 52 | 10 | 38 | 8 | 20 | 72 | LAK | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | DET | 44-24-4 | 92 | 0.6389 | 104.8 | 1-9-0 | 52 | 10 | 37 | 7 | 47 | 72 | DET | 0 |
| 5 | 6 | CHI | 40-25-8 | 88 | 0.6027 | 98.8 | 2-6-1 | 58 | 4 | 35 | 5 | 10 | 73 | LAK | 0 |
| 6 | 9 | SJS | 36-25-10 | 82 | 0.5775 | 94.7 | 5-5-1 | 60 | 2 | 29 | -1 | 13 | 71 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | DAL | 39-28-5 | 83 | 0.5764 | 94.5 | 5-5-0 | 61 | 1 | 33 | 3 | -3 | 72 | LAK | 0 |
| 8 | 10 | LAK | 35-25-12 | 82 | 0.5694 | 93.4 | 5-4-1 | 62 | 0 | 30 | - | 9 | 72 | - | - |
| 9 | 7 | PHX | 36-26-11 | 83 | 0.5685 | 93.2 | 4-3-2 | 63 | -1 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 73 | tie | 0 |
| 10 | 8 | COL | 39-30-5 | 83 | 0.5608 | 92.0 | 4-2-2 | 65 | -3 | 30 | 0 | -1 | 74 | COL | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | CGY | 34-26-13 | 81 | 0.5548 | 91.0 | 6-2-1 | 65 | -3 | 31 | 1 | -17 | 73 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | MIN | 29-32-10 | 68 | 0.4789 | 78.5 | n/a | 74 | -12 | 22 | -8 | -46 | 71 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | 12 | ANA | 30-32-11 | 71 | 0.4863 | 79.8 | n/a | 75 | -13 | 27 | -3 | -23 | 73 | LAK | 0 |
| 14 | 14 | EDM | 28-36-8 | 64 | 0.4444 | 72.9 | n/a | 80 | -18 | 24 | -6 | -23 | 72 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | 15 | CBJ | 23-42-7 | 53 | 0.3681 | 60.4 | n/a | 91 | -29 | 19 | -11 | -65 | 72 | tie | 0 |
KEY:
- Q = my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here).
- NHL = the official standings, via NHL.COM.
- PRJ = projected point total for 82 games.
- TO 93 = the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold.
- PB = points-blown.
- 8th+/- = the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed.
- ROW = regulation plus OT (but not SO) wins. The first tie-breaker.
- ROW+- = the difference between the Kings' ROW and that team's.
- GD = goal-differential.
- GP = games-played.
- SS = season series, the Kings' point differential against the opponent in question.
- SSGR = games remaining against that opponent.
- Click on the headers to sort.
Some observations:
- The chances of 93 points being good enough to make the playoffs are about 50:50, but I'm keeping 93 as the so-called presumed threshold because the figure is bouncing around wildly (between 93 and 95) day to day.
- After San Jose's game tonight, they will have played the same number of games as the Kings.
- SJS and LAK have games in hand on the rest of the log-jam.
- SJS and LAK are doing better than the official standings indicate.
- COL, PHX and (especially) DAL are doing worse
- The Kings are in good shape re ROWs against all the log-jammers except Calgary (one behind) and Dallas (three behind). Well, they're five behind Chicago, but I don't think we're catching them anyway.
- The odds of ROWs deciding who makes it and who doesn't are pretty good, I think.
- Not as easy week for any of those teams.
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