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The Good, The Bad, The Real Standings

Last Night’s Results

The Good:

The Bad: ANA won.

Tonight’s Games

STL@LAK — GO KINGS.

CGY@COL — Go Avs.

MIN@SJS — Go…?…Wild, I guess.

BOS@NAS — Go Bruins.

CHI@DAL — Go regulation.

PHX@EDM — Go Oil.

Now, the updated standings:

Q NHL PTS W% PRJ LSF PB +/- TO 96 GR W! SS SSGR GD
1 1 VAN 103 0.7153 117.3 103 41 18 n/a 10 43 1 1 68
2 2 DET 92 0.6571 107.8 102 48 11 2-10-0 12 38 3 LAK 29
3 3 SJS 88 0.6197 101.6 113 54 5 4-7-0 11 35 -1 2 17
4 5 LAK 85 0.6071 99.6 101 55 4 5-6-1 12 33 n/a n/a 26
5 4 CHI 84 0.6000 98.4 112 56 3 6-6-0 12 33 -8 CHI 36
6 6 PHX 85 0.5986 98.2 107 57 2 5-5-1 11 33 -2 1 3
7 7 DAL 82 0.5857 96.1 88 58 1 7-5-0 12 32 3 LAK -3
8 10 ANA 81 0.5786 94.9 89 59 0 7-4-1 12 34 2 3 -6
9 9 NAS 80 0.5714 93.7 100 60 -1 8-4-0 12 29 4 LAK 14
10 8 CGY 81 0.5625 92.3 90 63 -4 7-2-1 10 29 1 1 10
11 11 MIN 77 0.5500 90.2 84 63 -4 9-2-1 12 33 1 LAK -10
12 12 CBJ 74 0.5362 87.9 79 64 -5 11-2-0 13 28 3 LAK -19
13 13 STL 71 0.5071 83.2 90 69 -10 n/a 12 27 -6 STL -15
14 14 COL 60 0.4348 71.3 95 78 -19 n/a 13 23 6 LAK -50
15 15 EDM 55 0.3929 64.4 62 85 -26 n/a 12 21 5 LAK -59

Click on the headers to sort.

KEY: Q is my standings, default sorted by W% then points-blown (explanation of points-blown here). NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM (ESPN has the tie-breakers wrong). PRJ is projected point total for 82 games. LSF is last season’s final point total. PB is points-blown. +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed. TO 96 is the record needed to get to the presumed (by me) playoff-threshold. GR is games-remaining. W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker). SS and SSGR are season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team  name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss. GD is goal–differential.

Some observations:

  • STL can’t get to 96 points.
  • 3rd-9th seed now shows a perfect run of points-blown, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60.
  • In official points, LAK, PHX and CHI form one cluster (separated by a point), and a few points beneath them, DAL, ANA, NAS and CGY form another (separated by a point).
  • The Kings are one tie-breaker win behind ANA and two behind SJS.
  • Of the teams with a reasonable chance of making the playoffs, SJS and PHX have 11 games left. CGY has 10. Everyone else has 12.
  • The Kings are 10 goals behind Chicago in GD. A blow-out win or two would be very helpful about now.
  • The Ducks could erase the Kings’ lead over them by taking 5 points out of the three remaining head-to-head games.
  • Given the way the standings are trending right now, a first round Ducks/Kings series is as likely as anything else. A 3/6 or a 4/5 match-up.
  • A win tonight will put the Kings on a pace to equal their point total from last season, which would be a tie for third best in franchise history.

Talking Points