The Penultimate Real Standings and Match-Up Variations
Tonight's results
The Good:
The Bad: Kings lost.
Tomorrow's Games
CHI @ DET
If Chicago wins in regulation:
- It's a four-way tie for 4th.
- The ROW tie-breaker gives ANA 4th, CHI 5th, with Nashville and Phoenix tied in ROWs.
- Those two teams proceed to the head-to-head, in which they are also tied. So it's on to goal-differential, in which Nashville prevails.
- Chicago would play Anaheim. Nashville would play Detroit. Phoenix would play San Jose. And LA plays Vancouver. However:
If Chicago wins in a shoot-out:
- then it's still a four-way tie for 4th, and Anaheim still gets 4th because of the ROW tie-breaker, but now:
- it's a three-way tie in ROWs among Nashville, Phoenix and Chicago -- they proceed to the head-to-head tie-breaker, and in that particular three-way, the winner is...still Chicago.
- However, now Phoenix is 6th and Nashville is 7th. Because it's the head-to-head-to-head records which decide the standings, and in their respective records against each other, Nashville is the worst.
- Chicago still plays Anaheim. But now, Nashville plays San Jose, and Phoenix plays Detroit.
- LA still plays Vancouver.
If Chicago loses in OT or SO:
- Chicago and LA are tied for 7th, and Chicago takes 7th place thanks to the ROW tie-breaker, and opens in San Jose.
- Anaheim plays Nashville.
- Phoenix plays Detroit.
- LA still plays Vancouver.
However, if Chicago LOSES IN REGULATION:
- Hmmm. Well, that depends on the outcome of our next game...
DAL @ MIN
If Chicago loses in regulation, and Dallas wins in a shoot-out or loses either in regulation, OT or SO:
- Chicago takes 8th and opens against Vancouver.
- The Kings take 7th and open against San Jose.
- Dallas lands in 9th and misses the playoffs with either 95, 96 or 97 points. But...
If Chicago loses in regulation, and Dallas wins in regulation or OT:
- Chicago and Dallas are tied for 8th, and tied in ROWs.
- They proceed to the head-to-head tie-breaker, which favors Dallas.
- Dallas takes 8th and opens against Vancouver.
- The Kings take 7th and open against San Jose.
- Chicago goes home, missing the playoffs with 97 points.
Now, the updated standings:
| Q | NHL | PTS | W% | PRJ | MAX | LSF | PB | +/- | >9th | GR | W! | SS | SSGR | GD | |
| 1 | 1 | VAN | 117 | 0.7134 | 103 | 47 | 19 | 50 | -1 | VAN | 77 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | SJS | 105 | 0.6402 | 113 | 59 | 7 | 43 | -2 | SJS | 35 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | DET | 102 | 0.6296 | 103.3 | 104 | 102 | 60 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 3 | LAK | 19 | |
| 4 | 4 | ANA | 99 | 0.6037 | 89 | 65 | 1 | 43 | -3 | ANA | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | NAS | 99 | 0.6037 | 100 | 65 | 1 | 38 | 4 | LAK | 25 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | PHX | 99 | 0.6037 | 107 | 65 | 1 | 38 | -1 | PHX | 5 | ||||
| 7 | 8 | CHI | 97 | 0.5988 | 98.2 | 99 | 112 | 65 | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1 | 38 | -8 | CHI | 34 |
| 8 | 7 | LAK | 98 | 0.5976 | 101 | 66 | 0 | 36 | 21 | ||||||
| 9 | 9 | DAL | 95 | 0.5864 | 96.2 | 97 | 88 | 67 | -1 | 1-0-0 | 1 | 37 | 5 | LAK | -4 |
| 10 | 10 | CGY | 94 | 0.5732 | 90 | 70 | -4 | 32 | 2 | LAK | 13 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | STL | 87 | 0.5305 | 90 | 77 | -11 | 34 | -8 | STL | 6 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | MIN | 84 | 0.5185 | 85.0 | 86 | 84 | 78 | -12 | 1 | 35 | 1 | LAK | -29 | |
| 13 | 13 | CBJ | 81 | 0.4939 | 79 | 83 | -17 | 29 | 3 | LAK | -43 | ||||
| 14 | 14 | COL | 66 | 0.4074 | 66.8 | 68 | 95 | 96 | -30 | 1 | 23 | 8 | LAK | -62 | |
| 15 | 15 | EDM | 61 | 0.3765 | 61.8 | 63 | 62 | 101 | -35 | 1 | 23 | 7 | LAK | -75 |
Click on the headers to sort.
KEY:
- Q is my standings, default sorted by points-blown (explanation of points-blown here).
- NHL is the official standings, via NHL.COM.
- PRJ is projected point total for 82 games.
- LSF is last season's final point total.
- MAX is maximum points possible for that team.
- PB is points-blown.
- +/- is the distance in points-blown above or below the 8th seed.
- GR is games-remaining.
- W! is wins plus OT wins (the first tie-breaker).
- SS and SSGR is season series against the Kings (Kings’ points-earned vs. that team’s points-earned) and games remaining (team name in the SSGR column means that team has won the season series). 2 points for a Kings win, 1 for an OT or SO win, -1 for an OT or SO loss, -2 for a loss.
- GD is goal-differential.
Observations:
- Five points separate 4th from 10th.
- Depending on the outcome of tomorrow's games, 2-4 points will separate 4th from 9th.
- And 1-2 points will separate 4th from 8th.
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